Top Pick

1. New England Patriots (-6.5) vs. Ind – I get it, Andrew Luck is a beast, the Colts are starting to figure things out and are coming off a great road win in Denver. It still won’t matter. New England should win this by double digits. The Colts don’t stop the run very well so you can expect a heavy dosage of RB LeGarrette Blount and even Jonas Gray, who ran for 199 and 4 TDs against Indy the last time they played.

Defensively, New England doesn’t have to worry about a running game so you can expect a scheme heavily intent on defensing the pass. The Colts continue to take steps to reach the top of the mountain but will fall short once again.

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2. Green Bay Packers (+7) vs. Sea – The Seahawks are a good bet to win. But not by a TD. Green Bay will be the most complete team they’ve faced on their winning streak and the 1st legit QB outside of Cam Newton, who is not near Rodgers’ class. Russell Wilson’s offense struggled down the stretch (minus the Cards game) and the Packers bring in a pretty good D.

Expect the Packers to keep the Seahawks under 21. On the other side of the ball the Packers will have some success and hit on a big play here and there. We think the Packers could pull off the upset (money line bet is +225) but will certainly cover the point spread.

1. Green Bay Packers (-13) vs. Atl – Until the Patriots, the Packers were putting up an insane amount of points at home and blowing teams out. That will happen on Monday Night. Look for Green Bay to put up 40+.

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2. New England Patriots (-3.5) vs. SD – The Pats have been on fire before meeting Aaron Rodgers and Co. a week ago. They still had a chance to pull that out in the end too. Look for New England to head into San Diego and win by a TD. Their D is playing very well and offensively, Brady and Co. will prove too much for the Chargers.

3. Denver Broncos (-10) vs. Buf – Mile High is a very difficult place to play and it won’t be any easier for a Kyle Orton led team.

4. Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) vs. Mia – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Cincinnati Bengals (-3) vs. Pit – The Steelers struggle on the road and are catching Cincinnati as they get healthy on D.

New Orleans Saints (-10) vs. Car – Brees and Co. will run it up on their division foe.

Detroit Lions (-10) vs. TB – The Lions have been very tough at home.

Money Line Bet

Baltimore Ravens (+125) vs. Mia – The Fins come off a short week in which they pulled out an underwhelming win over the Jets. They catch a break with DT Haloti Ngata out but the Ravens match up well against Miami and will eek out the close win.

Must Start

Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Andrew Luck and Aaron Rodgers

Tier 1

Tony Romo vs. Chi – Romo will bounce back from an awful Thanksgiving performance.

Matthew Stafford vs. TB – With a healthy Calvin Johnson the Lions QB is now a 22-25 FFL point candidate.

Tom Brady vs. SD – Expect 300 yards and 3 TDs in SD.

Jay Cutler vs. Dal – The Cowboys D is suddenly tired and showing signs of wear and tear.

Russell Wilson vs. Phi – His maneuverability will be good for 20+ FFL points in Philly.

Tier 2

Ben Roethlisberger vs. Cin – Roethlisberger’s numbers are down on the road and Cincy’s D is tough at home.

Philip Rivers vs. NE – The tough Patriots pass D brings Rivers down a notch.

Fantasy Sleeper

Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Jax – Don’t expect 6 TDs but is a fantasy football sleeper against the Jags.

Bust

Mark Sanchez vs. Sea – Chip Kelly’s innovative offense will have its hands full with the Seahawks.

Top Pick

1. Baltimore Ravens (-6) vs. SD – Baltimore is a very difficult place to play after Thanksgiving.

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2. Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) vs. TB – The Bengals defense is getting healthier and they’ve put the clamps down on the Saints and Texans respectively. They’ll do so again against a reeling Bucs unit.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5) vs. NO – The Saints have lost three in a row (all at home) and are an average outdoor team.

4. New England Patriots (+3) vs. GB – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Denver Broncos (-2) vs. KC – Last week’s loss against the Raiders for the Chiefs was a trap game, but they’re missing the requisite firepower to knock off the Broncos.

Atlanta Falcons (+2) vs. Arz – The Cardinals have gotten everything out of its talent and are trying to win with QB Drew Stanton the rest of the way. This will be a tougher game than many realize.

Oakland Raiders (+7) vs. Stl. – The Rams D has stepped up considerably but there are still major issues on offense. Look for Oakland to keep this close throughout.

Money Line Bet

New England Patriots (+140) vs. GB – The Packers have whipped opponents recently at home, putting up 50+ respectively against the Eagles and Bears. The Patriots are an interesting team because they can beat opponents multiple ways and their D is set up to stop the pass. Look for a close game which New England pulls out.

Must Start

Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Andrew Luck

Tier 1

Aaron Rodgers vs. NE – This is his toughest test of the season.

Tony Romo vs. Phi – The Eagles will be forced to commit more against the run which will open up the passing games.

Ben Roethlisberger vs. NO – It’s been light and day Roethlisberger when playing at home or the road. He’s home this week.

Drew Brees vs. Pit – He’ll be firing and the Steelers D is a bit limited. But Brees struggles on grass surfaces away from home.

Matt Stafford vs. Chi – Nothing like the Bears D to get Stafford back on track.

Ryan Tannehill vs. NYJ – Jets are midpack stopping the pass.

Eli Manning vs. Jax – The Eli to ODB connection should be on display against a giving Jaguars D. Eli is a low No. 1.

Tier 2

Mark Sanchez vs. Dal – Dallas ranks 19th vs. the pass and Philly will be throwing all afternoon. Expect 17-20 points.

Cam Newton vs. Min – Newton will put 14-17 FFL points at Minnesota.

Andy Dalton vs. TB – This is another strong play for Dalton. Bucs bottom 25.

Russell Wilson vs. SF – The 49ers run a strong D, so look for Wilson to pick up points with his legs.

Matt Ryan vs. Arz – The Cards rank at the bottom 3rd of the league against the pass.

Bust

Jay Cutler vs. Det – The Lions aggressive D will be all over Cutler on Thursday.

Fantasy Sleeper

Drew Stanton vs. Atl – The Falcons pass D ranks dead last. Look for Stanton to put up 17-20 FFL points.

Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and Andrew Luck

Tier 1

Tony Romo vs. NYG – He’ll feast on a Giants D that is depleted and struggling in coverage.

Tom Brady vs. Det – The Lions present a big challenge, but this is in NE and Brady is on fire.

Mark Sanchez vs. Ten – This offense suits him well.

Tier 2

Eli Manning vs. Dal – Look for Manning to top 20 FFL points against the Boys.

Colin Kaepernick vs. Was – He’ll be a threat running as well as passing.

Andy Dalton vs. Hou – Dalton will put up 15-18 FFL points.

Jay Cutler vs. TB – He will probably toss a couple of picks but he’s in line for a big afternoon.

Ryan Tannehill vs. Den – Expect 15-18 FFL points against a tough Broncos D.

Philip Rivers vs. Stl. – Rivers enjoys a solid match up here.

Fantasy Sleeper

Josh McCown vs. Chi – Expect McCown to put on a solid showing against his old compatriots.

Bust

Matt Stafford vs. NE – The Pats secondary is its strength.

Must Start

Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski and Julius Thomas

Tier 1

Antonio Gates vs. Oak – Look for Gates to find the end zone against his rival on Sunday.

Greg Olsen vs. Atl – He’s Newton’s safest option at this point. Will top 90 yards and find the end zone.

Martellus Bennett vs. Min – The Bears are struggling. Look for Cutler to get his TE involved with shorter throws.

Zac Ertz vs. GB – Sanchez looks for his TEs more than Foles did.

Dwayne Allen vs. NE – Look for Luck to target his TEs as the Pats CBs will play the receivers close.

Tier 2

Larry Donnell vs. SF – Donnell is a low No. 1 this week.

Travis Kelce vs Sea – The Seahawks haven’t stopped TEs as well in 2014. Kelce will bounce back from his poor effort a week ago.

Charles Clay vs. Buf – Clay has been inconsistent. He’ll top 10 FFL points on TNF.

Jordan Reed vs. TB – Expect Reed to get back on track in RGIII’s 2nd start.

Jared Cook vs. Den – The Broncos have consistently struggled covering the TE postion.

Bust

Vernon Davis vs. NYG – Something is not right here.

Fantasy Sleeper

Mychael Rivera vs. SD – Rivera has come out of nowhere to become a viable fantasy option. He’ll top 12 FFL points in standard leagues.

Must Start

Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and Matt Stafford

Tier 1

Andrew Luck vs. NE – You’re starting him but the Pats are very good against the pass.

Philip Rivers vs. Oak – This is one of the few easy remaining opponents. Rivers will put up 300 yards with a 3 TDs.

Tom Brady vs. Ind – Brady is on fire and will put up 30 FFL points in a high scoring game.

Ben Roethlisberger vs. Ten – They overlooked NYJ. Roethlisberger will top 300 yards with 2-3 TDs on MNF.

Cam Newton vs. Atl – Newton will top 25 FFL points against a porous Falcons D.

Tier 2

Matt Ryan vs. Car – The Panthers pathetic D means Ryan is still a borderline No. 1 this week.

Jay Cutler vs. Min – He’ll turn the ball over a few times but also find the end zone twice.

RGIII vs. TB – RGIII will put up 17-20 against a defensively challenged Bucs team.

Bust

Russell Wilson vs. KC – Wilson is struggling tremendously now outside of what he is doing with his legs. He’ll find Kansas City a very tough place to play.

Fantasy Sleeper

Josh McCown vs. Was – He’ll top 18-20 FFL points against a generous Skins D.

Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers,  Drew Brees and Andrew Luck

Tier 1

Russell Wilson vs. Car – Wilson’s making plays with his legs and arm.

Tom Brady vs. Chi – The Bears pass D is highly suspect.

Matt Stafford vs. Atl – Expect Stafford to get back on track against the lowly Falcons.

Tony Romo vs. Was – Romo will top 250 yards with 3 TDs.

Philip Rivers vs. Den – The Chargers could be playing from behind in this one. Rivers typically plays well against the Broncos.

Tier 2

Nick Foles vs. Arz – Arizona’s D is tough on the Eagles in the desert.

Carson Palmer vs. Phi – Look for 225 yards and 2 TDs.

Jay Cutler vs. NE – Cutler will put up between 15-18 points in Foxboro.

Ryan Tannehill vs. Jax – He’ll follow up an impressive Week 7 with another 2 TDs.

Bust

Matt Ryan vs. Det – The Lions D will overwhelm the Falcons OL and force Ryan into turnovers.

Fantasy Sleeper

Geno Smith vs. Buf – With the addition of WR Percy Harvin, Smith becomes a fantasy sleeper this week.

Top pick

1. New England Patriots vs. NYJ – The NFL scheduling gods didn’t do the Jets any favors with their hellacious schedule to start the season. 1-5 will become 1-6 when they head to Foxboro tonight. The defense is trying to give NYJ a chance to win but the offense is non-existent.

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2. Cleveland Browns vs. Jax – The Jaguars made it interesting against the Titans but ultimately lost. The Browns are playing good football and will roll again here.

3. Buffalo Bills vs. Min – The Vikings are lacking in talent and bringing along a rookie QB. The Bills feature a strong defense whereas the offense does just enough to win a few games. This is one of them.