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	<title>Pro Football 101&#187; Patriots</title>
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		<title>2011 NFL Playoffs &#8211; Super Bowl</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2012/02/03/2011-nfl-playoffs-super-bowl/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2012/02/03/2011-nfl-playoffs-super-bowl/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 17:44:40 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://profootball101.com/?p=9757</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s a rematch of Super Bowl 42 only the teams are different this time around. There&#8217;s not an 18-0 team playing for immortality, and while the Giants are on a similar run, Eli Manning is MUCH better than he was four years ago. The point spread is also only a FG opposed to the 12-point [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s a rematch of <a class="zem_slink" title="Super Bowl XLII" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_XLII">Super Bowl 42</a> only the teams are different this time around. There&#8217;s not an 18-0 team playing for immortality, and while the Giants are on a similar run, Eli Manning is MUCH better than he was four years ago.</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 160px"><a href="http://www.daylife.com/image/05c2gD22jV94q?utm_source=zemanta&amp;utm_medium=p&amp;utm_content=05c2gD22jV94q&amp;utm_campaign=z1"><img class="zemanta-img-inserted zemanta-img-configured" title="FOXBORO, MA - NOVEMBER 06:  Eli Manning #10 of..." src="http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/05c2gD22jV94q/150x114.jpg" alt="FOXBORO, MA - NOVEMBER 06:  Eli Manning #10 of..." width="150" height="114" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Image by Getty Images via @daylife</p></div>
<p>The<strong> <a href="/" target="_blank">point spread</a> </strong>is also only a FG opposed to the 12-point line the Pats were favored by in Arizona.</p>
<p><strong>When the Giants have the ball</strong>, expect them to attack with the pass to set up the run. The Patriots pass D is poor and often times they ask WR Julian Edelman to play in the slot. That&#8217;s a tall order considering he&#8217;ll be lining up against Victor Cruz much of the evening.</p>
<p>The Giants other receivers (Hakeem Nicks, Mario Manningham) also have a decided advantage over the DBs that will be covering them.</p>
<p>The key for the Patriots will be how well they disguise their coverages and how effective DT Vince Wilfork and the front four pressure Eli. If they can, it will limit some of the Giants effectiveness, especially down the field, but the Giants offensive line has actually pass blocked well over the 2nd half of the season, the <a class="zem_slink" title="NFC Championship Game" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NFC_Championship_Game">NFC Championship game</a> excluded. But that was against an excellent Niners D on a sloppy field; not the 31st ranked Pats D in a dome.</p>
<p>An X factor in this game will be RB <a class="zem_slink" title="Ahmad Bradshaw" rel="twitter" href="http://twitter.com/ahmadbradshaw">Ahmad Bradshaw</a>.  He missed the Week 9 contest and will be difficult for the Pats to contain as a runner and receiver out of the backfield.</p>
<p><strong>When the Patriots have the ball</strong>, look for New England to throw a wrinkle at the Giants and come out running the ball out of the spread offense. They don&#8217;t want to become too one dimensional because that plays right into the Giants main strength, which is getting after the QB.</p>
<p>So, they&#8217;ll likely employ a quick passing game to go with the run and pick their spots when to open it up.</p>
<p>But a lot will depend on Brady&#8217;s ability to keep the Giants D off balance. If he is unable to do this, it could be a long evening for him.</p>
<p><a class="zem_slink" title="BenJarvus Green-Ellis" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BenJarvus_Green-Ellis">BenJarvus Green-Ellis</a> could be an effective runner as well as the Giants mostly use the Nickel D vs high powered passing offenses.</p>
<p>The X Factors will be their TEs, and namely, Rob Gronkowski. He&#8217;s coming off a bad ankle injury and it&#8217;s unlikely that he&#8217;ll be more than 60-70% healthy. If he becomes a non-factor, it will allow New York to play one man on him rather than two, and they&#8217;ll then shift their attention to <a class="zem_slink" title="Aaron Hernandez" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aaron_Hernandez">Aaron Hernandez</a>, the other talented TE.</p>
<p>When it&#8217;s all said and done, look for the Giants to win their 2nd Super Bowl in five years.</p>
<p>Both coaches are excellent at game planning and preparing their teams, but the Giants have the better and deeper team.</p>
<p>The Patriots lack of a deep threat coupled with the Giants ferocious pass rush also means that New England will be forced to rely on long drives to put points on the board, which will not be so easy to do. Whereas the Giants offense is a threat to strike at any time.</p>
<p>New York Giants 31 &#8211; New England Patriots 21</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>NFL Picks &#8211; Wild Card Weekend</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2010/01/08/nfl-picks-wild-card-weekend/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2010/01/08/nfl-picks-wild-card-weekend/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jan 2010 18:04:42 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=6221</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As we kick off Wild Card Weekend, it&#8217;s looking like a clean sweep by the home teams. Best Bet 1. New England Patriots (-3.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens The only way Baltimore can win this game, and cover the point spread, is by establishing the running game. But Belichick is smart enough to recognize this and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As we kick off Wild Card Weekend, it&#8217;s looking like a clean sweep by the home teams.</p>
<p><strong>Best Bet</strong></p>
<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="Tom Brady" src="http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:sZ5wymeCwJtnTM:http://www.everyjoe.com/files/144/2008/01/tom-brady.jpg" alt="" width="89" height="131" />1. New England Patriots (-3.5) </strong>vs. Baltimore Ravens</p>
<p>The only way Baltimore can win this game, and cover the <a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>point spread</strong></a>, is by establishing the running game. But Belichick is smart enough to recognize this and will scheme to take Ray Rice and Willis McGahee away.</p>
<p>Joe Flacco has been horrible at times down the stretch and that inconsistency will lead to a few picks on Sunday.</p>
<p>The Pats won&#8217;t light up the scoreboard either, but Brady and Co. will make enough plays to get it done. Keep an eye on Randy Moss whose deep speed could prove too much for the Ravens Secondary.</p>
<p>The Pats have been here before and are hard to beat at home in the playoffs. Look for them to win by a TD.</p>
<p><strong>Next In Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>2. Arizona Cardinals (+2)</strong> vs. Green Bay Packers</p>
<p>This is<a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2010/01/07/wild-card-sunday-breakdown-packers-vs-cardinals/" target="_blank"> <strong>the most difficult game on the board to pick</strong></a>. Both offenses are going to move the ball through the air against each other and it will come down to which team can make the big play/stop on defense.  Our money is on Arizona.</p>
<p>Talented S Adrian Wilson will be all over of the field and his presence in the box will ensure Ryan Grant doesn&#8217;t get going. Their creative defensive packages will also account for the Packers receivers, something very difficult to do, and although we see Rodgers and Co. having success passing the ball, we expect Arizona, playing at home, to come up big when it counts.</p>
<p>This team did it last year throughout the Playoffs and look poised to make a run this year too.</p>
<p><strong>3. Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)</strong> vs. New York Jets</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t let the 37-0 whooping mislead you; there were many reasons for that lopsided score. The bottom line is the Bengals didn&#8217;t need that game and didn&#8217;t show much in it either.</p>
<p>Look for Cincinnati to focus heavily on its running game (Cedric Benson) to set up the pass and for the other receivers (outside of Ochocinco), Caldwell and/or Coles, to step up and make plays in the passing game.</p>
<p>New York will attempt to run the ball but the Bengals will scheme to take this away. And Mark Sanchez won&#8217;t be able to beat the Bengals, and its talented CBs, through the air.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2010/01/06/wild-card-saturday-breakdown-jets-vs-bengals/" target="_blank"><strong>Bengals will bounce back this week with a big 17-13 win </strong></a>playing in their homepark.</p>
<p><strong>4. Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) </strong>vs. Philadelphia Eagles</p>
<p>A week ago,<strong> </strong><a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/12/31/2009-nfl-picks-week-17/" target="_blank"><strong>we chose the Eagles straight up and were burned</strong></a>. Dallas had their way with Philly although Reid shut things down once it was apparent that they were not going to win.</p>
<p>The more we analyze this match-up, it&#8217;s hard to envision the Eagles keeping this game to within a FG. They can&#8217;t  - don&#8217;t &#8211; run the ball, and by failing to do so, McNabb is put into precarious spots. DeMarcus Ware and Anthony Spencer are then able to pin their ears back and go after No. 5.</p>
<p>The inability to go play-action also limits DeSean Jackson&#8217;s effectiveness.</p>
<p>On offense, Marion Barber and Felix Jones will run the ball at will on the Eagles smaller defense and when Philly tries to bring up Safety help, Romo will make them pay.</p>
<p>Look for the Cowboys to sweep all three games this season with a 24-17 win on Saturday Night.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Wild Card Sunday Breakdown: Ravens vs. Patriots</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2010/01/07/wild-card-sunday-breakdown-ravens-vs-patriots/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2010/01/07/wild-card-sunday-breakdown-ravens-vs-patriots/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Jan 2010 18:00:23 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=6183</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The last time these two teams met, in early October, the Patriots overcame a key 4th down drop by Derrick Mason in the waning minutes of the game to hold onto a 27-21 win. Since then, much has changed for both teams. The Ravens have been severely depleted in their secondary having lost most of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="Tom Brady" src="http://t3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:wAP7rHsHnxzetM%3Ahttp://padresteve.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/tom-brady-patriots.jpg" alt="" width="124" height="112" />The last time these two teams met, in early October, the Patriots overcame a key 4th down drop by Derrick Mason in the waning minutes of the game to hold onto a 27-21 win. Since then, much has changed for both teams.</p>
<p>The Ravens have been severely depleted in their secondary having lost most of their starting CBs, while the Patriots, relatively unscathed outside of a few injuries, lost one of their most valuable assets in WR Wes Welker in their regular season finale.</p>
<p>On to the analysis of this Wild Card match-up:</p>
<p>When the Patriots are on offense, look for them to attack Baltimore through the air. The one area which the Ravens are particularly strong is against the run; they&#8217;re No. 5 in the league. And New England doesn&#8217;t possess the type of power running game which can pick up tough yards against this front seven.</p>
<p>So once again <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/12/23/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-16-qbs-playoffs/" target="_blank"><strong>Tom Brady</strong></a><strong> </strong>will set the tone for this offense.</p>
<p>The Welker injury is devastating but they&#8217;ve still got plenty of weapons on the outside to get the job done. To compensate for the loss to the underneath game, rookie Julian Edelman will be used primarily on crossing patterns and 3rd downs.  Brady will also involve WR Sam Aiken and his TEs (Chris Baker, Ben Watson).</p>
<p>But the receiving corps will need Randy Moss to play like the star he&#8217;s been over the past 10 years to take pressure off the other guys. Baltimore doesn&#8217;t possess anyone in the secondary that can stay with him and we expect at least one long TD on Sunday.</p>
<p>Once they get the passing game going, look for New England to mix in the run with Sammy Morris, Fred Taylor and Kevin Faulk on 3rd downs.</p>
<p>When the Ravens have the ball, expect a heavy dose of Ray Rice and Willis McGahee. Joe Flacco&#8217;s play has really tailed off since his hot start to the season and Baltimore will want to keep the fate of the game out of his hands. But Belichick won&#8217;t; expect Vince Wolfork to be back and you&#8217;ll see New England bring an extra man in the box to ensure the ground game doesn&#8217;t get going.</p>
<p>When the Ravens are put into obvious passing situations, New England, devoid of any real pass rushing threats, will have to bring extra people to rattle Flacco and throw off his rhythm.</p>
<p>The one thing they&#8217;ll need to keep an eye on is Ray Rice out of the backfield because he&#8217;s extremely dangerous on screen passes and will be Baltimore&#8217;s biggest receiving threat on Sunday.</p>
<p>As for the skill players, Mason&#8217;s slowed down (huge drops vs. Pittsburgh) and there&#8217;s no other receiving threat, outside of TE Todd Heap in the red zone, to worry about.</p>
<p>When the clock hits 0:00, expect New England to pull out a 24-14 win. They&#8217;re currently only favored by a 3 <a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>point spread</strong></a> and that&#8217;s too low.</p>
<p>The Patriots are certainly not the world beaters they were for the better part of this decade, but the Ravens have been very inconsistent down the stretch and were fortunate to overcome the pathetic Raiders in Week 17 in a game they had to have.</p>
<p>Much of those struggles can be attributed to Flacco&#8217;s up and down play, and you can bet Belichick will have something up his sleeve to keep the 2nd year QB from regaining his early season form.</p>
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		<title>2009 NFL Picks &#8211; Week 17</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2009/12/31/2009-nfl-picks-week-17/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2009/12/31/2009-nfl-picks-week-17/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2010 01:31:40 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=6160</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The regular season finally comes to an end and it&#8217;s been excellent season picking against the point spread (over 60%) and betting the money line for PF101. Here&#8217;s our Week 17 picks. Best Bet 1. New York Jets (-10) vs. Cincinnati Bengals The Bengals have nothing to play for and have added incentive to tank [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The regular season finally comes to an end and it&#8217;s been excellent season picking against the<strong> </strong><a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>point spread</strong></a> (over 60%) and betting the <a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>money line </strong></a>for PF101.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s our Week 17 picks.</p>
<p><strong>Best Bet</strong></p>
<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="New York Jets" src="http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:qBdYKHtrrG8mOM:http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/extra_points/Buffalo%252BBills%252BNew%252BYork%252BJets%252BqiHcR21AXtQl.jpg" alt="" width="135" height="90" />1. New York Jets (-10)</strong> vs. Cincinnati Bengals</p>
<p>The Bengals have nothing to play for and have added incentive to tank this game because it will mean Pittsburgh is kept out of the post season. That being said, their offense has been in a funk the past few weeks and they&#8217;ll want to work out some issues prior to Wild Card Weekend.</p>
<p>Expect the Bengals starters to play for about a half, and keep it close, and then for New York to pull away late en route to a two TD win.</p>
<p><strong>Next In Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>2. Baltimore Ravens (-10)</strong> vs. Oakland Raiders</p>
<p>The Raiders have pulled off some big upsets by the bay this season (Bengals, Eagles, etc.) but those weren&#8217;t games where everything was on the line for the other team. This is. The Ravens must win on Sunday to advance to the post season.</p>
<p>Look for a spirited effort from Ray Lewis and Co. and for the offense, led by Ray Rice, to dominate the Raiders in the Black Hole.</p>
<p><strong>3. Tennessee Titans (-4) </strong>vs. Seattle Seahawks</p>
<p>The Seahawks have mailed in the season and are only playing for a higher draft selection on Sunday. The Titans on the other hand are focused on getting <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/12/23/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-16-rbs-playoffs/" target="_blank"><strong>Chris Johnson</strong></a> to 2,000 yards &#8211; and the single season total yards mark &#8211; and will beat up a demoralized Seahawks squad in Week 17.</p>
<p><strong>4. Philadelphia Eagles (+3)</strong> vs. Dallas Cowboys</p>
<p><strong>Next In Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>Kansas City Chiefs (+13)</strong> vs. Denver Broncos</p>
<p>The Broncos have had an excellent season considering their expectations coming into it, but the last time they were favored by this much, the Raiders pulled off the shocking 20-19 upset two weeks ago.</p>
<p>They&#8217;re on the outside looking in (at the post season) and the Chiefs, with the return of WR Dwayne Bowe, are playing more competitively on offense. KC will lose, but not by 13.</p>
<p><strong>Atlanta Falcons (-1.5) </strong>vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers</p>
<p>The Buccaneers are riding high on a two game winning streak after knocking off the Seahawks and Saints in consecutive weeks. Unfortunately they won&#8217;t finish the season on a three game streak. The Falcons, re-energized with the return of Matt Ryan, will control this game offensively, and on defense, they&#8217;ll force Josh Freeman into a few turnovers.</p>
<p><strong>Houston Texans (-7.5) </strong>vs. New England Patriots</p>
<p>This will be typical Patriots. Already having a home game in the Playoffs secured, the starters (<a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/12/23/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-16-qbs-playoffs/" target="_blank"><strong>Brady</strong></a>, Moss, Welker, etc) will play a quarter &#8211; maybe a half &#8211; before Belichick puts in the backups. The Texans still have an outside chance at a Wild Card and will romp at home on Sunday.</p>
<p><strong>Money Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>Philadelphia Eagles (+140) </strong>vs. Dallas Cowboys</p>
<p>A lot is at stake when these two teams meet in Week 17. The Cowboys with a win will win the NFC East outright. The Eagles, thanks to the collapse of the Vikings, currently are the No. 2 seed in the NFC and with a win will lock down that first round bye in addition to the NFC East.</p>
<p>Offensively, look for Reid to try and re-establish the Eagles running game. The Eagles have gotten away from that in recent weeks but with the return of Westbrook, to go along with McCoy and Weaver, now&#8217;s a good time to begin balancing out the team&#8217;s play-calling.</p>
<p>An effective running game will also keep DeMarcus Ware and Anthony Spencer off McNabb and open up the passing game to DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin and Brent Celek.</p>
<p>Defensively, look for the Eagles to blitz Dallas to keep the offense under control. When Romo has time, he can deliver the ball to Austin and Witten and is extremely effective. When he&#8217;s pressured, he makes mistakes. Dallas also tends to get away from the running game when Romo is off so expect the Eagles to bring as much pressure as possible.</p>
<p>In their last game, playing a straight up defense hurt Philly as Romo was able to locate Miles Austin on a  GW 49 yard TD pass late in the game. They won&#8217;t make the same mistake again.</p>
<p>Andy Reid has strong record in Dallas and he&#8217;ll continue that success with a win on Sunday as the Eagles will wrap up a bye in the Playoffs.</p>
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		<title>2009 Fantasy Busts and Booms &#8211; Week 16 (Playoffs)</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2009/12/25/2009-fantasy-busts-and-booms-week-16-playoffs/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2009/12/25/2009-fantasy-busts-and-booms-week-16-playoffs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Dec 2009 15:58:18 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=6146</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fantasy Booms 1. QB Phillip Rivers vs. Tennessee Titans For all the the Titans improvements over their eight game run, and there have been many, stopping the pass is still a struggle for them. They allowed Chad Henne to rally the Dolphins late last week and he finished with 349 yards and 1 TD on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Fantasy Booms</strong></p>
<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="Phillip Rivers" src="http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:GdLVzFFFawH3WM:http://nbcsportsmedia1.msnbc.com/j/msnbc/Components/Photos/061217/061217_rivers_vmed_830p.widec.jpg" alt="" width="80" height="129" />1. QB Phillip Rivers </strong>vs. Tennessee Titans</p>
<p>For all the the Titans improvements over their eight game run, and there have been many, stopping the pass is still a struggle for them. They allowed Chad Henne to rally the Dolphins late last week and he finished with 349 yards and 1 TD on the day.</p>
<p>Rivers will torch this secondary too and notch between two and three TDs in the process. Expect big games out of Vincent Jackson and<a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/12/23/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-16-tes-playoffs/" target="_blank"> <strong>Antonio Gates</strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>2. RB Frank Gore</strong> vs. Detroit Lions</p>
<p>You&#8217;ve got to figure that the Lions aren&#8217;t too thrilled about traveling to the west coast at this stage of the season. On top of that, they&#8217;re 0 for the season on the road and don&#8217;t stop the run. All this adds up to a stellar day for <strong><a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/12/23/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-16-rbs-playoffs/" target="_blank">Frank Gore </a></strong>who will easily eclipse 100 yards with a TD.</p>
<p><strong>3. WR Randy Moss </strong>vs. Jacksonville Jaguars</p>
<p>Moss has been scrutinized in recent weeks but has an excellent opportunity for a breakout game when the Jaguars come to town. They are horrible against the pass, especially the deep pass, which is  Moss&#8217;s specialty. Expect he and <strong><a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/12/23/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-16-qbs-playoffs/" target="_blank">Tom Brady </a></strong>to hook up all afternoon and for at least one of those to be of the longer variety.</p>
<p><strong>Fantasy Busts</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. QB David Garrard </strong>vs. New England Patriots</p>
<p>While Garrard has had some very good games at home, 223 yards and 3TDs vs Colts last Thursday, he struggles mightily on the road. And this week, heading to New England, where the Pats actually defense the pass well, look for another flop from Garrard and not much out of this offense.</p>
<p><strong>2. RB Steven Jackson</strong> vs. Arizona Cardinals</p>
<p>Opposing teams are doing a great job of keying on <a href="http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2009/12/25/rams-have-no-plans-to-trade-steven-jackson/" target="_blank"><strong>Jackson</strong> </a>in recent weeks because he&#8217;s the Rams only viable threat on offense. The Cardinals will follow this blue print, now that Keith Null is the starting QB, and do a good job of rendering No. 39 ineffective on Sunday.</p>
<p><strong>3. WR Reggie Wayne </strong>vs. New York Jets</p>
<p>Darrelle Revis has blanketed every receiver he has faced this year and that includes the likes of Andre Johnson, Roddy White, Randy Moss, etc. Wayne, not 100% healthy, will be unable to shake Revis in Week 16 and keep Manning looking in his other receivers&#8217; direction. You should look elsewhere too in your <a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>fantasy football</strong> </a>playoffs.</p>
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		<title>2009 Fantasy Booms and Busts &#8211; Week 12</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/27/2009-fantasy-booms-and-busts-week-12/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/27/2009-fantasy-booms-and-busts-week-12/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 17:35:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[fantasy football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[busts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cardinals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[colston]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Roethlisberger]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=5843</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. QB Kurt Warner vs. Tennessee Titans The Titans have the 2nd worst passing defense and Warner and his offense is on a roll. Expect him to locate Larry Fitgerald, Anquan Boldin and the rest of the Cardinals skill players for over 300 yards and a few scores. 2. RB Adrian Peterson vs. Chicago Bears [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="Kurt Warner" src="http://t2.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:GeOO0Gh_gDF-fM:http://gallaudetblog.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/kurt-warner2.jpg" alt="" width="113" height="117" />1. QB Kurt Warner</strong> vs. Tennessee Titans</p>
<p>The Titans have the 2nd worst passing defense and Warner and his offense is on a roll. Expect him to locate <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/fantasy-football/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-12-wrs/" target="_blank"><strong>Larry Fitgerald</strong></a>, Anquan Boldin and the rest of the Cardinals skill players for over 300 yards and a few scores.</p>
<p><strong>2. RB Adrian Peterson</strong> vs. Chicago Bears</p>
<p>AD has always been a load for the Bears defense to handle. And this began in the days when Chicago was dominant/very good on that side of the ball. In his rookie season, he ran for 224 and 3TDs in Soldier Field and has consistently had better days against this unit. Expect him to light up the tote (board) on Sunday against a unit not nearly as good as they were in the past.</p>
<p><strong>3. WR Vincent Jackson</strong> vs. Kansas City Chiefs</p>
<p>The Chiefs don&#8217;t have anyone in the secondary talented enough to keep up with Jackson. In their earlier season matchup, <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/fantasy-football/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-12-qbs/" target="_blank"><strong>Rivers</strong></a> hooked up with his favorite receiver for 142 yards and a TD<em> in the 1st half</em>. Provided this doesn&#8217;t become a laugher early on, expect a repeat performance in Week 12.</p>
<p><strong>Fantasy Busts</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. QB Donovan McNabb</strong> vs. Washington Redskins</p>
<p>The Redskins numerous problems in 2009 aren&#8217;t because of their defense. That side of the ball has fared well although they&#8217;ve often been put in precarious situations due to their inept offense. Look for McNabb to do enough for the Eagles to win but for it hardly to be a noteworthy<strong> </strong><a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>fantasy football</strong></a> performance.</p>
<p><strong>2. RB Rashard Mendenhall </strong>vs. Baltimore Ravens</p>
<p>The formula for success against the Ravens defense is through the air, not on the ground. Roethlisberger will use the short passing game to move the chains and Mendenhall, who has locked down the No. 1 RB job this year, will be held to a very average performance running the ball.</p>
<p><strong>3. WR Marques Colston</strong> vs. New England Patriots</p>
<p>The Patriots bring the No. 6 pass defense into this matchup and Bill Belichick&#8217;s going to design a game plan which keeps everything in front of his secondary. He&#8217;ll pay a little more attention to the Saints top receiver and this will limit Colston&#8217;s overall effectiveness. It&#8217;d be wise to look elsewhere when setting your fantasy lineup.</p>
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		<title>2009 NFL Picks &#8211; Week 12</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/25/2009-nfl-picks-week-12/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/25/2009-nfl-picks-week-12/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Nov 2009 19:26:17 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Best Bets]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=5812</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In Week 11, we had another solid overall week and have won over 60% of our picks against the point spread in 2009. We also hit our eighth money line bet of the season. With three games scheduled for Thanksgiving, here&#8217;s our Week 12 picks. Best Bets 1. Miami Dolphins (-3.5) vs. Buffalo Bills The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In Week 11, we had another solid overall week and have won over 60% of our picks against the<strong> </strong><a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>point spread </strong></a>in 2009. We also hit our<strong> </strong><em>eighth</em> <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/11/19/2009-nfl-picks-week-11/" target="_blank"><strong>money line bet </strong></a>of the season.</p>
<p>With three games scheduled for Thanksgiving, here&#8217;s our Week 12 picks.</p>
<p><strong>Best Bets</strong></p>
<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="Miami Dolphins" src="http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:kxTUdx7tXk0GwM:http://eyeamyoga.com/blog/media/blogs/a/RickyWilliams.jpg" alt="" width="116" height="116" />1. Miami Dolphins (-3.5) </strong>vs. Buffalo Bills</p>
<p>The Dolphins have won five of their last seven to jump back into the AFC Wild Card race. And this week, they face a Bills team that&#8217;s been forced to call up practice squad players just to field an offensive line.</p>
<p>The Dolphins front seven will have their way with the Bills offense all afternoon and put Ryan Fitzpatrick on his back  as well as force turnovers. Offensively, look for <a href="http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2009/11/25/seven-years-later-ricky-williams-is-offensive-pow-again/" target="_blank"><strong>Ricky Williams</strong></a><strong> </strong>to be the centerpiece of the offensive attack and lead Miami to an easy victory.</p>
<p><strong>Next In Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>2. New England Patriots (+3) </strong>vs. New Orleans Saints</p>
<p>See Money Line Analysis</p>
<p><strong>3. Cincinnati Bengals (-14)</strong> vs. Cleveland Browns</p>
<p>This would normally be lot of points to be giving in a matchup between division rivals. But the Bengals are extremely disappointed about blowing a golden opportunity last week to take a commanding lead in the AFC North and the Browns are the front runner for the 1st pick in the NFL draft. Look for the Bengals offense to impose its will on a soft Browns defense and for the defense to make Brady Quinn&#8217;s life miserable all afternoon.</p>
<p><strong>4. Minnesota Vikings (-10.5)</strong> vs. Chicago Bears</p>
<p>The Vikings are on a roll at 9-1 and Brett Favre is playing as well as he ever has. <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/fantasy-football/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-12-rbs/" target="_blank"><strong>Adrian Peterson</strong></a> always feasts on the Bears defense and this unit is not nearly as good as they were in years&#8217; past. Defensively, expect Jared Allen and Co. to get after Cutler and force the erratic QB in mistakes. They&#8217;ll also sack him a handful of times.</p>
<p><strong>Others We Like</strong></p>
<p><strong>Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) </strong>vs. San Francisco 49ers</p>
<p>The Jaguars have won three in a row including a  24-22 win over the Jets in the Meadowlands. This win was important because they had played horribly on the road up until that point. The Niners on the other hand have lost five of their last six and are heading in the wrong direction fast. Look for The Jags to rely heavily on MJD and then take their chances to Mike Sims-Walker against a depleted 49ers secondary. Defensively, they&#8217;ll focus on stopping Frank Gore and put the game in Alex Smith&#8217;s hands.</p>
<p><strong>Arizona Cardinals (Pick)</strong> vs. Tennessee Titans</p>
<p>Provided that Kurt Warner is healthy, the Cardinals will make it six for six on the road. The Titans weakness defensively is against the pass and Warner and Co. (<a href="http://www.profootball101.org/fantasy-football/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-12-wrs/" target="_blank"><strong>Fitzgerald, Boldin</strong></a>) will exploit this weakness. Defensively, the Cardinals will stack the line of scrimmage to limit Chris Johnson&#8217;s effectiveness and force Vince Young to beat them, which he won&#8217;t be able to do.</p>
<p><strong>Dallas Cowboys (-13.5) </strong>vs. Oakland Raiders</p>
<p>The Raiders aren&#8217;t a good team as is. But they&#8217;re exceptionally bad on the road. Travelling to Dallas on a short week, look for Romo and Co. to have their way against the Raiders defense. Defensively, DT Jay Ratliff, DE/LB DeMarcus Ware and the rest of the Cowboys front seven will get after QB Gradkowski and force a few costly turnovers. This one should be a blowout.</p>
<p><strong>Money Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>New England Patriots (+120) </strong>vs. New Orleans Saints</p>
<p>The Saints perfect season comes to an end on Monday Night. New Orleans is currently 10-0 and holds the top seed in the NFC. But they have a plethora of problems on defense, most notably in the secondary, and this is where the Pats will attack all night long.</p>
<p>Brady&#8217;s finally back to being the Tom Brady of old and the Patriots passing game is working on all cylinders. Wes Welker is the perfect underneath receiver to pick third downs and move the chains and Randy Moss has four TDs in the past three games, two over 60 yards. And they&#8217;re finally getting some value out of Laurence Maroney who will have a solid evening against the Saints porous run defense.</p>
<p>The Saints, equally balanced on offense, actually play into one of the Patriots strengths. New England brings the No. 6 ranked pass defense into this contest and this will be the deciding factor in the game. RB Pierre Thomas and Co. should do well on the ground but Bill Belichick will put together a scheme to keep everything in front of the secondary, thus taking away one of the Saints most dangerous weapons: the deep pass.</p>
<p>When all is said and done, look for New England to move to 8-3 and for New Orleans to move into a tie for the NFC&#8217;s top seed with the Minnesota Vikings.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>2009 Suicide Pool Pick &#8211; Week 11</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/19/2009-suicide-pool-pick-week-11/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/19/2009-suicide-pool-pick-week-11/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Nov 2009 05:05:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Best Bets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bengals]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=5673</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s our Week 11 suicide pool picks in the order we&#8217;d select them. 1. Cincinnati Bengals vs. Oakland Raiders So long as the Bengals don&#8217;t suffer a letdown, and that&#8217;s not likely with this group, getting to 8-2 will be a cakewalk. Expect Cincinnati&#8217;s defense to hold the Raiders to under 10 points, and offensively, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s our Week 11<strong> </strong><a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>suicide pool</strong></a> picks in the order we&#8217;d select them.</p>
<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="Carson Palmer" src="http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:hU5dSGI-4QdaPM:http://withmalice.files.wordpress.com/2008/07/carson-palmer.jpg" alt="" width="131" height="114" />1. Cincinnati Bengals</strong> vs. Oakland Raiders</p>
<p>So long as the Bengals don&#8217;t suffer a letdown, and that&#8217;s not likely with this group, getting to 8-2 will be a cakewalk. Expect Cincinnati&#8217;s defense to hold the Raiders to under 10 points, and offensively, behind the legs of <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/11/18/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-11-rbs/" target="_blank"><strong>Cedric Benson</strong></a> and arm of Carson Palmer, to put up between 24 to 30 points in Oakland. This will be an easy win.</p>
<p><strong>2. New England Patriots</strong> vs. New York Jets</p>
<p>Does anyone think Bill Belichick&#8217;s forgotten all the trash talking done by Rex Ryan, Kerry Rhodes and Bart Scott prior and after their Week Three loss in the Meadowlands? We don&#8217;t. And coming off a bad loss to the Colts, this is not the time you want to play New England. Look for Belichick to treat this one personally and for Brady and Co. to run up the score in a blowout on Sunday.</p>
<p><strong>3. Dallas Cowboys</strong> vs. Washington Redskins</p>
<p>While the Redskins could keep this close, they&#8217;re not going to see their win from last week turn into a winning streak against the Cowboys. There&#8217;s still too many issues on offense and the Cowboys defense has played very well over the past month. LB/DE DeMarcus Ware has become a force again and the secondary is shutting down opposing passing games. On top of that, Romo&#8217;s  raised his play since Miles Austin entered the lineup (sans vs. Green Bay) and he&#8217;ll do well this weekend.</p>
<p><strong><br />
</strong></p>
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		<title>2009 NFL Picks &#8211; Week 10</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/12/2009-nfl-picks-week-10/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/12/2009-nfl-picks-week-10/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 18:42:52 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Best Bets]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=5591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In Week Nine of the NFL season, we hit on four of our top five picks as well as our seventh month line bet of the year. Here&#8217;s who we like for Week 10. Best Bet 1. Baltimore Ravens (-10.5) vs. Cleveland Browns In the past two weeks, Cleveland&#8217;s GM was fired and the team, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In Week Nine of the NFL season, we hit on four of our top five picks as well as our <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/best-bets/2009-nfl-picks-week-9/" target="_blank"><strong>seventh month line bet</strong></a><strong> </strong>of the year.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s who we like for Week 10.</p>
<p><strong>Best Bet</strong></p>
<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="Ray Rice" src="http://t3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:JRXDRqoiUp0f7M:http://www.theheismanwinners.com/images/ray-rice_1_.jpg" alt="" width="94" height="124" />1. Baltimore Ravens (-10.5) </strong>vs. Cleveland Browns</p>
<p>In the past two weeks, Cleveland&#8217;s GM was fired and the team, coming off it&#8217;s blowout loss to the Bears, has switched back to Brady Quinn at QB, which will have little effect on a team that&#8217;s mailed in 2009.</p>
<p>The Ravens however will be fighting for their playoff lives from here on out and will bury the Browns on Monday. Offensively, look for Ray Rice and Co. to score at will; defensively,<a href="http://www.profootball101.org/suicide-pool/2009-nfl-suicide-pool-pick-week-10/" target="_blank"> <strong>Baltimore</strong> </a>won&#8217;t give up more than 10 points.</p>
<p><strong>Next In Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>2. Tennessee Titans (-6.5)</strong> vs. Buffalo Bills</p>
<p>The Buffalo Bills have two distinct weaknesses: passing the ball and stopping the run. They&#8217;re now getting Trent Edwards back behind center and this will make their offense as inept as it was prior to his injury.</p>
<p>And defensively, their hands will be full all afternoon;  <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/fantasy-football/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-10-rbs/" target="_blank"><strong>Chris Johnson </strong></a>has amassed 363 yards and four TDs in the past two games and will torch this unit on Sunday.</p>
<p><strong>3. Cincinnati Bengals (+7)</strong> vs. Pittsburgh Steelers</p>
<p>The Bengals have been too kind to gamblers to not take the seven points and run with it. They&#8217;re also playing their best football to date. The Steelers are also on a roll, but both teams know each other well and we expect this one will be decided by less than four points.</p>
<p><strong>4. New England Patriots (+3) </strong>vs. Indianapolis Colts</p>
<p>See Money Line Analysis</p>
<p><strong>A Few More</strong></p>
<p><strong>Arizona Cardinals (-9.5) </strong>vs. Seattle Seahawks</p>
<p>The Seahawks are beaten up at too many key positions to like their chances to cover the point spread on Sunday. Arizona&#8217;s playing well on both sides of the ball and we like<strong> </strong><a href="http://www.profootball101.org/fantasy-football/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-10-qbs/" target="_blank"><strong>Warner</strong> </a>and Co. to put up over 27 points in this one. And defensively, Hasselback, who will be under constant pressure all afternoon, should be good for a few costly turnovers.</p>
<p><strong>Miami Dolphins (-10)</strong> vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers</p>
<p>All of the good feelings experienced by Buccaneer players and fans in their win over the Packers in Week Nine will evaporate on Sunday. The Dolphins defense, playing at home, will present all sorts of problems for rookie QB Josh Freeman and we expect a rout in Week Ten.</p>
<p><strong>Detroit Lions (+16.5)</strong> vs. Minnesota Vikings</p>
<p>Games between these two teams are usually close regardless of each team&#8217;s record. So, while the Lions blew a 17-point lead on the road to Seattle in Week Nine, they do have Calvin Johnson back in the lineup and could catch the Vikings taking them a little too lightly.</p>
<p><strong>Money Line</strong></p>
<p><strong>New England Patriots (+125) </strong>vs. Indianapolis Colts</p>
<p>These teams actually mirror one another right now. Neither team runs the ball particularly well but both feature explosive passing attacks. And defensively, both teams have noticeable weaknesses which will be hard to mask against these potent offenses.</p>
<p>We expect both teams to come out passing to set-up their running games. And that&#8217;s where the Pats will have an edge. They&#8217;re currently ranked third in the league against the pass but feature bigger bodies up front to limit Joseph Addai&#8217;s effectiveness.</p>
<p>The Colts aren&#8217;t too shabby against the pass either, ranking ninth in the league to date, but their smaller defense has trouble stopping the run and even more so now that S Bob Sanders is out for the year.</p>
<p>This game will be extremely close throughout the night, but in the end, look for Brady and Belichick to be the deciding factors in a 21-17 victory for the Pats.</p>
<p><strong>2009 Record Against The Point Spread</strong></p>
<p><strong>Overall</strong> 60%</p>
<p><strong>Best Bets</strong> 5-4</p>
<p><strong>Next In Line</strong> 19-9</p>
<p><strong>Others We Like </strong>13-14</p>
<p><strong>Money Line</strong> 7-2</p>
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		<title>2009 Fantasy Rankings &#8211; Week 9 D/ST</title>
		<link>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/04/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-9-dst/</link>
		<comments>https://profootball101.com/2009/11/04/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-9-dst/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 14:02:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profootball101.org/?p=5400</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos The Baltimore Ravens showed the blueprint for keeping the Broncos offense in check: pressure. Since Orton&#8217;s not adept to throwing deep, if you bring the Safeties closer to the line, it limit&#8217;s Denver&#8217;s effectiveness. Look for Polamalu to play close to the line and the Steelers front seven to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><img class="alignleft" title="Troy Polamalu" src="http://t3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:uVdnvoelMDxocM:http://crackofdawn.files.wordpress.com/2009/09/aags125troy-polamalu-05-06-action-posters.jpg" alt="" width="101" height="126" />1. Pittsburgh Steelers</strong> vs. Denver Broncos</p>
<p>The Baltimore Ravens showed the blueprint for keeping the Broncos offense in check: pressure. Since Orton&#8217;s not adept to throwing deep, if you bring the Safeties closer to the line, it limit&#8217;s Denver&#8217;s effectiveness. Look for Polamalu to play close to the line and the Steelers front seven to pressure Orton into sacks and turnovers. They&#8217;re our top ranked <a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>fantasy football </strong></a>D/ST in Week Nine.</p>
<p><strong>2. Green Bay Packers</strong> vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers</p>
<p>It appears that the Buccaneers are handing the reins over to rookie Josh Freeman and you can bet that DC Dom Capers will bring continuous pressure to confuse the young QB on Sunday. Look for a multi sack/turnover performance as the Packers should dominate defensively.</p>
<p><strong>3. San Francisco 49ers </strong>vs. Tennessee Titans</p>
<p>The only player the Niners need to keep an eye on at all times is <a href="http://www.profootball101.org/2009/11/04/2009-fantasy-rankings-week-9-rbs/" target="_blank"><strong>RB Chris Johnson</strong></a>. And while that&#8217;s not an easy thing to do, the 49ers do have a defensive weapon who we think matches up well: MLB Patrick Willis. Vince Young will be ineffective on the road and the Niners will take advantage of a few mistakes.</p>
<p><strong>4. Atlanta Falcons </strong>vs. Washington Redskins</p>
<p>The Redskins are about as bad as they come on offense. Their offensive line is horrendous and Jason Campbell consistently makes poor decisions. Look for the Falcons to be opportunistic on Sunday and force multiple turnovers.</p>
<p><strong>Sleepers</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Jacksonville Jaguars</strong> vs. Kansas City Chiefs</p>
<p>The Chiefs offensive woes are well documented and all start with the problems along the offensive line. It neither gives Cassel the time to throw or the running game holes to run through. Expect Del Rio&#8217;s unit to play a physical game in Week Nine and for our top D/ST <a href="http://profootball101.org" target="_blank"><strong>fantasy sleeper </strong></a>to create havoc all day.</p>
<p><strong>2. Cincinnati Bengals</strong> vs. Baltimore Ravens</p>
<p>The Bengals defense completely dismantled the Bears two weeks ago and are well rested coming off their bye week. The Ravens are a tougher test than the Bears but these AFC North Divisional battles tend to be physical and close. Look for the Bengals corners to intercept a pass or two.</p>
<p><strong>Others We Like</strong></p>
<p><strong>Baltimore Ravens</strong> vs. Cincinnati Bengals</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baltimoreravens.com/" target="_blank"><strong>The Ravens</strong> </a>defense made adjustments over their bye week and completely stifled the Denver Broncos on Sunday. While the Bengals are a different beast offensively, namely due to their vertical passing game, the Ravens should be able to provide pressure up front and keep this a low scoring affair.</p>
<p><strong>New England Patriot</strong><strong>s</strong> vs. Miami Dolphins</p>
<p>The Patriots allowed a total of seven points over their last two games and are well rested coming off their bye week. Look for their focus to be on stopping the Wild Cat because Belichick knows that Henne and the passing game will struggle against his third ranked pass defense.</p>
<p><strong>New Orleans Saints </strong>vs. Carolina Panthers</p>
<p>The opportunistic Saints have already returned six TDs on defense this season. And facing Jake Delhomme in the Superdome, there&#8217;s should be an opportunity for their seventh. If the Saints take a commanding lead expect multiple sacks and a few turnovers.</p>
<p><strong>A Few More</strong></p>
<p><strong>Philadelphia Eagles</strong> vs. Dallas Cowboys</p>
<p><strong>Indianapolis Colts</strong> vs. Houston Texans</p>
<p><strong>Seattle Seahawks </strong>vs. Detroit Lions</p>
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