Our top three NFL suicide pool picks for Week 1 are:

1. NY Jets vs. Cle - They’re only three-point favorites at the sportsbook but enter this contest in better shape than the Browns. Cleveland has undergone a tumultuous offseason and experienced high turnover. Look for Todd Bowles to win in his first game and for you to steal week 1 without using a top tier team. (Jets are a suicide sleeper pick this week)

2. Dallas Cowboys vs. NYG – The Giants enter the game without their starting LT, slot receiver (Victor Cruz), best defensive player (JPP) and suffered a spate of injuries in pre-season. They’re also learning a new defensive system under Steve Spagnuolo. That is a lot to ask playing the defending NFC East champs in their home.

3. Miami Dolphins vs. Was – The Dolphins loaded up in the off season and enter this year with strong hopes for the playoffs. They’re better than Washington across the board and will pull out a win by at least a TD in Week 1.

Top

1. Dallas Cowboys vs. Was – The Cowboys will roll to an easy win on Monday Night. Typically rivalry games are tricky, but not when the Redskins will be without their top defensive player (Brian Orakpo) and starting 3rd stringer QB Colt McCoy. Look for Dallas to easily cover the point spread and win by double digits.

Next

2. Cleveland Browns vs. Oak – Last week was embarrassing. The previously winless Jags upset the Browns in their home park. That won’t happen this week. The Raiders are dreadful and will struggle on the road.

3. Miami Dolphins vs. Jax – The Jags lone win will not become a “winning streak” unfortunately. Miami’s D is stout and will stifle the young Jags O. Look for Ryan Tannehill and the offense to put up 27 in the easy win…

1. Denver Broncos (-7) vs. SF – The 49ers will be down LB Patrick Willis which takes out all but one element (Ahmad Brooks) of their Pro Bowl Linebacking Corps. San Francisco will keep this competitive but won’t have enough firepower to keep it close late. Look for Peyton Manning and Co. to cover the point spread and win by at least 10.

Next

2. Baltimore Ravens (-7) vs. Atl – Baltimore is coming off a big romp in Tampa and will continue that trend against the NFC South at home. Atlanta’s diminished OL impacts everything they do on offense, and they’re going to struggle in Baltimore.

3. Miami Dolphins (+3) vs. Chi – See money line bet.

4. Detroit Lions (-2.5) vs. NO – The Lions will likely be without Megatron but they’ll have enough juice on offense to get the job done. Their D is playing tremendously and whereas in year’s past the Saints would have posed a significant threat, something is missing this year.

Rounding Things Out

Kansas City Chiefs (+4) vs. SD – San Diego’s defense has been hit by injuries and is being felt in the pass rush. The Chiefs are getting healthier and may steal a game on the road.

Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) vs. Oak – The Raiders are improving but still not enough to beat the Cards. The game will be close throughout, however.

New York Giants (+7) vs. Dal – New York is determined to show that last week’s flop was a fluke and Dallas could have a letdown after their impressive win in Seattle.

Money Line Bet

Miami Dolphins (+155) vs. Chi – Both teams are very up and down this year. While the Fins blew a very winnable game last week against the Packers, they are ascending as a whole. Expect a close game which the Dolphins pull out late.

Must Start

Seahawks, Patriots and Lions

Tier 1

Buffalo Bills vs. Min – Teddy Bridgewater at home? Yes.

Cleveland Browns vs. Jax – The Browns are beat up but they’ll thrive here.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Atl – The Ravens are tough at home and the Falcons OL is in shambles.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Oak – Look for the Cards to force multiple turnovers.

Denver Broncos vs. SF – Denver will attack Kaepernick and create 2-3 turnovers.

Tier 2

Houston Texans vs. Pit – Todd Haley is horrible. Bet against the Steelers while he is calling plays.

Dallas Cowboys vs. NYG – The Giants offense is hurting down Rashad Jennings and Victory Cruz (for the season)

Miami Dolphins vs. Atl – The Fins will put up 8 FFL points.

Bust

San Diego Chargers vs. KC – The Chargers are thin at DL and their lack of pass rush is impacting their pass D.

Fantasy Sleeper

Green Bay Packers vs. Car – This unit is entirely different at home.

Chargers, Patriots, Panthers

Tier 1

Detroit Lions vs. NYJ – Geno Smith loves turning the ball over.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Car – This is a tough place for road teams.

Miami Dolphins vs. Oak – It’s the Raiders.

Houston Texans vs. Buf – The Texans D/ST will get after QB Emmanuel.

Tier 2

Indianapolis Colts vs. Ten – QB Jake Locker has been a turnover machine.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Min – They are a sleeper this week. The Vikings have lost so much on offense.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. NE – This isn’t the same Pats offense.

Buffalo Bills vs. Hou – QB Ryan Fitzpatrick can be forced into mistakes.

Bust

Chicago Bears vs. GB – Just because the Packers have started slow shouldn’t fool you. GB will find their groove this week.

Fantasy Sleeper

Oakland Raiders vs. Mia – The Dolphins offense is in disarray.

]]> https://profootball101.com/2014/09/24/2014-fantasy-football-dst-rankings-week-4/feed/ 0 https://profootball101.com/2014/09/19/2014-nfl-picks-week-3/ https://profootball101.com/2014/09/19/2014-nfl-picks-week-3/#comments Fri, 19 Sep 2014 12:40:15 +0000 admin https://profootball101.com/?p=12311 Top Pick

1. New Orleans Saints (-10) vs. Min – An 0-2 team doesn’t usually warrant being a 10 point favorite. This is not your typical 0-2 team, and they’re back at home where they bury teams. The Vikings will get blown out in this one.

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2. San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) vs. Arz – The 49ers will get back to doing what they do best and that’s running the ball and not letting Colin Kaerpernick fling it around the field. Rather, they will run a methodical offense and the defense should be fine facing QB Drew Stanton, the likely starter.

3. Miami Dolphins (-3.5) vs KC – This would normally be viewed as a trap game, but we don’t see it here. The Chiefs are desperate to avoid an 0-3 start but the good fortune that propelled them to a 9-0 start a year ago is not there. Miami is tough at home and will prove so again on Sunday.

4. Washington Redskins (+7) vs. Phi – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Indianapolis Colts (-7) vs. Jax – They’re still the Jags.

Buffalo Bills (-2.5) vs. SD – Buffalo plays tough in their home park.

Denver Broncos (+5) vs. Sea – The Seahawks will win, but this will be much closer than the Super Bowl.

Money Line Bet

Washington Redskins (+240) vs. Phi – The Eagles are a lot more vulnerable than people realize. They were unimpressive against the Jags and then fortunate to beat the Colts on some shaky calls. The Redskins are rejuvenated playing under Kirk Cousins and will steal a close game late in the Linc.

Seattle Seahawks, Denver Broncos, New England Patriots and Carolina Panthers

Tier 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Ten – The Bengals are stout at home.

Houston Texans vs. NYG – New York’s options on offense are about nil. JJ Watt should have a field day.

Miami Dolphins vs. KC – They are a different team at home.

St. Louis Rams vs. Dal – Expect the D to dial up pressure against Romo and Co.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Arz – They look even better if Carson Palmer can’t go.

Tier 2

Cleveland Browns vs. Bal – They’ve had success at home vs. the Ravens.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cle – Will enter on 10 days rest and coming off a solid performance.

Buffalo Bills vs. SD – The Bills D is tough at home.

Bust

Arizona Cardinals vs. SF – The 49ers will get back to their style of play this week. They’ll overpower Arizona’s injury riddled D.

Fantasy Sleeper

San Diego Chargers vs. Buf – This D can be sneaky good and force QB EJ Manuel into errors.

]]> https://profootball101.com/2014/09/17/2014-fantasy-football-dst-rankings-week-3/feed/ 0 https://profootball101.com/2013/12/19/2013-fantasy-football-dst-playoffs-playoffs-championship/ https://profootball101.com/2013/12/19/2013-fantasy-football-dst-playoffs-playoffs-championship/#comments Thu, 19 Dec 2013 21:48:36 +0000 admin https://profootball101.com/?p=11944 Cream of the crop

1. San Francisco 49ers vs. Atl – Expect a long night for Matt Ryan and Co.

2. Seattle Seahawks vs. Arz – Look for the Seahawks to make another statement defensively as they wrap up home field.

3. Carolina Panthers vs. NO – The Saints are very ordinary on the road.

4. Baltimore Ravens vs. NE – Look for the Patriots offensive woes to continue in a hostile environment.

Rounding things out

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Min – The Bengals are a different bunch at home.

Miami Dolphins vs. Buf – EJ Manuel has regressed of late.

St. Louis Rams vs. TB – Mike Glennon has hit the rookie wall and the Rams will exploit it.

Not far behind

Detroit Lions vs. NYG – The Giants offense has hit rock bottom and some appear disinterested.

San Diego Chargers vs. Oak – SD’s playoff push will include a 10+ fantasy point effort vs. the Raiders.

Green Bay Packers vs. Pit – Lambeau is a tough place to play this late in the year.

Denver Broncos vs. Hou – The Broncos will keep QB Case Keenum in check and top double digit fantasy points.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Ind – The Chiefs will force multiple turnovers here.

Potential Bust – Beware

New Orleans Saints vs. Car – Expect Carolina to turn the tables on their home field.

1. Seattle Seahawks (-7) vs. NYG – The Giants tend to mail it in after being eliminated from the playoffs. Look for Seattle to clinch the NFC West with a convincing win on Sunday.

Next

2. Miami Dolphins (+1) vs. NE – The loss of TE Rob Gronkowski cannot be minimized. He was the engine that really made this offense work. Miami is playing better the past few weeks and always play the Patriots well in Miami.

3. San Francisco 49ers (-6) vs. TB – There is always concern of a letdown, but we don’t see it here. The 49ers D will smother rookie QB Mike Glennon and the Bucs offense all afternoon. The 49ers will easily cover the point spread with a double digit win.

4. Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) vs. Cin – See money line bet.

Rounding things out

St. Louis Rams (+6.5) vs. NO – The Saints are not that good on the road and the Rams play much better at home.

Cleveland Browns (+1) vs. Chi – The Bears are gambling going back to Jay Cutler at this point. The Browns are playing tough.

Carolina Panthers (-11.5) vs. NYJ – We expect the Geno Smith of Week’s 11-13 to show up on Sunday against a ferocious D at home. Not the one from a week ago.

Money Line Bet

Pittsburgh Steelers (+120) vs. Cin – The Steelers Playoff chances are extremely slim, but there is still a chance. They’ll turn the tables on the Bengals in their home park and capitalize on a few QB Andy Dalton mistakes.

1. Carolina Panthers vs. NYJ – Geno Smith will be facing an angry D.

2. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oak – Look for the Chiefs top effort a week ago to transfer over to this week.

3. San Francisco 49ers vs. TB – The 49ers facing a rookie QB will mean a top fantasy effort.

4. Seattle Seahawks vs. NYG – Seattle will force three turnovers in NY.

Not far behind

New Orleans Saints vs. Stl. – Rob Ryan’s aggressive scheme will keep the Saints scoring low.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Min – Philly is playing consistent ball on D and is likely to face the Vikings without RB Adrian Peterson.

Miami Dolphins vs. NE – The Patriots psyche will be tested minus their biggest offensive weapon.

Rounding things out

Arizona Cardinals vs. Ten – The Cards are slightly behind the top tier due to this being played on the road.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pit – The Bengals D will force multiple turnovers vs. Big Ben.

Buffalo Bills vs. Jax – Look for the Bills to force a few turnovers and sack Chad Henne 3 times.

St Louis Rams vs. No – The Saints have struggled on the road this year.

Potential Bust – Beware

Baltimore Ravens vs. Det – This is in Detroit where the Lions are a much different team.