Ameer Abdullah (ranked 19) vs. Min – Unless it was an aberration the Vikings run defense did not look good on Monday Night. Carlos Hyde ran all over them. The flashy rookie will build off of his first strong effort and give the Vikings run D fits.

Alfred Blue (ranked 36) vs. Car- Star LB Luke Keuchly is unlikely to play due to a concussion. Roll with Blue who will fare much better when his team is not down multiple scores.

Darren Sproles (ranked 39) vs. Dal – This is a very low ranking for Sproles, especially in PPR leagues. The Cowboys are vulnerable to pass catchers out of the backfield and thus far Sproles looks to be an important piece of the offense once again.

Rashad Jennings (ranked 22) vs. Atl – Only Eli Manning’s mismanagement of the clock kept Jennings out of the end zone for a 2nd TD. The Falcons have a better scheme defensively, but still lack piece. Expect Jennings to bust out in a big way at home in Week 2.

Chris Ivory (ranked 14) vs. Ind – The Colts D is soft. Ivory is a hard runner and will find holes in this defense to exploit. Expect a top 10 effort out of Ivory this week.

RBs who will underperform their top 10 ranking on ESPN’s list:

DeMarco Murray (ranked 7) vs. Dal – He will have all of the emotion in the world to pour it on to his former team. But he only got 9 yards rushing on Monday Night (TDs aside). Dal D will be just as fired up for their former running back and look for Murray to end up out of the top 10 for the week.

Matt Forte (ranked 4) vs. Arz – The Cardinals D is geared up to stop the run. That will be their primary focus as they leave start DB Patrick Peterson outside on WR Alshon Jeffery. Forte will have success, but not reach his lofty #4 ranking.

Top Pick

1. Minnesota Vikings (-6) vs. Chi – The turn back to Jay Cutler means nothing. Chicago is in a state of turmoil and can’t wait to get the season over with. Minnesota has grown under 1st year HC Mike Zimmer and will finish out the season with a bang at home. Look for the Vikings to win by 10 and cover the point spread.

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2. Green Bay Packers (-7.5) vs. Det – Some may call last week a trap game for the Lions, but not us. That’s typical Matt Stafford being unable to capitalize on things given to him. The Packers will be ready in a game with a ton of meaning and look for a double digit win.

3. New York Giants (-3) vs. Phi – The Eagles three-game losing streak knocked them out of playoff contention and means this game has little meaning. Well, it has more for the Giants who are playing a number of young players on their three-game winning streak. Look for that to move to four as the Odell Beckham Jr. show continues against a horrendous secondary.

4. Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) vs. Pit – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Carolina Panthers (+4) vs. Atl – This will be close but Cam Newton will be the difference.

San Diego Chargers (+3) vs. KC – Win and they’re in. Look for the Chargers to beat their rival.

Dallas Cowboys (-5.5) vs. Was – Dallas needs to win first and then get a lot of help for a No. 1 or 2 seed. There will not be a letdown here.

Money Line Bet

Cincinnati Bengals (+170) vs. Pit – The Steelers are very talented on offense but erratic. This is a game which could catch them by surprise. The Bengals move to RB Jeremy Hill as the starter has been a boon to the offense and they will continue to ride their young horse Sunday. Everything else feeds off of this. The Bengals D is also much improved since their last contest after getting a few guys back.

Detroit Lions (-8.5) vs. Chi – The complete implosion in Chicago makes this the top pick of the day. QB Jimmy Claussen will start in Jay Cutler’s place and the Lions D will be ALL over him. Detroit will blowout the Bears and easily cover the point spread.

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Carolina Panthers (-3) vs. Cle – Sorry Johnny, it’s a steep learning curve in the NFL. The rookie QB will struggle again mightily against a subpar D.

Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) vs. Was – RGIII is a welcome sight for an Eagles team reeling after two losses. The Eagles will win by double digits.

Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) vs. Dal – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) vs. Arz – Bruce Arians can only pull so many rabbits out of his hat. Ryan Lindley vs. a HOT Seattle defense is a scary proposition.

Denver Broncos (-3.5) vs. Cin – The Bengals have been embarrassed in primetime the entire year.

Oakland Raiders (+7) vs. Buf – Crazy things happen in the black hole. Expect the Raiders to play better than many expect.

Money Line Bet

Indianapolis Colts (+164) vs. Dal – The Cowboys are coming home after an emotional win against the Eagles. Home has not been their friend. On top of things, DeMarco Murray now has a broken hand and his ability to play is to be determined. Look for Andrew Luck and Co. to come into Dallas and win a high scoring game. The Cowboys D will have their hands full with the Colts passing game.