Top Pick

1. New England Patriots (-6.5) vs. Ind – I get it, Andrew Luck is a beast, the Colts are starting to figure things out and are coming off a great road win in Denver. It still won’t matter. New England should win this by double digits. The Colts don’t stop the run very well so you can expect a heavy dosage of RB LeGarrette Blount and even Jonas Gray, who ran for 199 and 4 TDs against Indy the last time they played.

Defensively, New England doesn’t have to worry about a running game so you can expect a scheme heavily intent on defensing the pass. The Colts continue to take steps to reach the top of the mountain but will fall short once again.

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2. Green Bay Packers (+7) vs. Sea – The Seahawks are a good bet to win. But not by a TD. Green Bay will be the most complete team they’ve faced on their winning streak and the 1st legit QB outside of Cam Newton, who is not near Rodgers’ class. Russell Wilson’s offense struggled down the stretch (minus the Cards game) and the Packers bring in a pretty good D.

Expect the Packers to keep the Seahawks under 21. On the other side of the ball the Packers will have some success and hit on a big play here and there. We think the Packers could pull off the upset (money line bet is +225) but will certainly cover the point spread.

Top pick

1. Arizona Cardinals (+6.5) vs. Car – The Panthers should win and enter the game in pretty good shape health-wise. The Cardinals are forced to play QB Ryan Lindley which is a depressing thought. However, Arizona’s D will be ready to play and will force Cam Newton into mistakes. Expect a close game which Arizona may pull out in the end. Either way, Carolina won’t be covering the point spread.

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2. Detroit Lions (+7) vs. Dal – The Cowboys come in strong, finishing 8-0 on the road. They haven’t fared as well at home. The Lions D will challenge Romo and this running game all afternoon. Matt Stafford is good for a few mistakes but this will be close throughout and could go either way. If Stafford shows some maturity then the Lions may steal one on the road.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) vs. Bal – The loss of RB Le’veon Bell is big, but Pittsburgh still has enough firepower to beat the Ravens at home. Baltimore does not enter this game playing their best ball and will go out in round 1.

4. Indianapolis Colts (-3) vs. Cin – The Bengals will likely be without WR AJ Green who has a concussion. That is a huge loss. They’ll pound the rock with RB Jeremy Hill but will face another aggressive defensive plan like they faced earlier when shutout 27-0 to the Colts. Expect QB Andrew Luck and Co. to get the job done again.

Must Start

Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck, Drew Brees and Tom Brady

Tier 1

Peyton Manning vs. Cin – The Broncos new offense moves Manning down a few notches in fantasy.

Matt Stafford vs. Chi – Chicago’s D is horrendous.

Tony Romo vs. Dal – The Cowboys may rely more heavily on Romo with Murray’s status uncertain.

Matt Ryan vs. NO – This is a dream match-up for Ryan owners. Even more so with Julio Jones back.

Tier 2

Russell Wilson vs. Arz – The pass D is still an area teams exploit against the Falcons.

Eli Manning vs. Stl – ODB has returned Eli to fantasy relevance. He’s a 15-18 point candidate here.

Bust

Ben Roethlisberger vs. KC – Kansas City sports the top rated pass D.

Fantasy Sleeper

Mark Sanchez vs. Was – Sanchez killed a lot of fantasy teams’ hopes in the divisional round. Lucky for him this is a great match-up.

Top Pick

1. Baltimore Ravens (-6) vs. SD – Baltimore is a very difficult place to play after Thanksgiving.

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2. Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) vs. TB – The Bengals defense is getting healthier and they’ve put the clamps down on the Saints and Texans respectively. They’ll do so again against a reeling Bucs unit.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5) vs. NO – The Saints have lost three in a row (all at home) and are an average outdoor team.

4. New England Patriots (+3) vs. GB – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Denver Broncos (-2) vs. KC – Last week’s loss against the Raiders for the Chiefs was a trap game, but they’re missing the requisite firepower to knock off the Broncos.

Atlanta Falcons (+2) vs. Arz – The Cardinals have gotten everything out of its talent and are trying to win with QB Drew Stanton the rest of the way. This will be a tougher game than many realize.

Oakland Raiders (+7) vs. Stl. – The Rams D has stepped up considerably but there are still major issues on offense. Look for Oakland to keep this close throughout.

Money Line Bet

New England Patriots (+140) vs. GB – The Packers have whipped opponents recently at home, putting up 50+ respectively against the Eagles and Bears. The Patriots are an interesting team because they can beat opponents multiple ways and their D is set up to stop the pass. Look for a close game which New England pulls out.

Must Start

Seattle, San Francisco, Indianapolis and Miami

Tier 1

Detroit Lions vs. Chi – Look for double digit turnovers from the Lions on Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. TB – This unit is getting healthy.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cle – Expect the Bills to force Hoyer into multiple turnvoers.

Baltimore Ravens vs. SD – The Ravens are very tough at home this late in the season.

St. Louis Rams vs. Oak – The Rams D is hot and will continue their play against the Raiders.

Tier 2

Houston Texans vs. Ten – Expect 7-10 FFL points against the Titans.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Was – The QB situation is a mess in Washington.

Bust

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Den – it’s best to avoid this unit in Week 13

Fantasy Sleeper

New York Giants vs. Jax – Only because it’s the Jaguars.

Must Start

Seattle, Kansas City and San Francisco

Tier 1

Buffalo Bills vs. NYJ – The Jets are not much better with Vick behind center.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jax – Indy will blitz the Jags into a few turnovers.

San Diego Chargers vs. Stl – Shaun Hill will find the going tough at San Diego.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Ten – Look for Philly to blitz the Titans into 2-3 turnovers.

New England Patriots vs. Det – The Patriots are still a low No. 1 facing a tough O at home.

Tier 2

Arizona Cardinals vs. Sea – They’ll force Russell Wilson into a few turnovers.

Green Bay Packers vs. Min – The Packers are rolling at home. This one they take on the road.

Bust

Detroit Lions vs. NE – This Lions team is a tough unit each week, but New England is on a roll and playing at home.

Fantasy Sleeper

St. Louis Rams vs. SD – The Rams recent resurgence is not a fluke. They’re finally buying into the system and will get after Rivers.

Must Start

Denver, Miami and Detroit

Tier 1

Buffalo Bills vs. Mia – Tannehill is banged up as is Lamar Miller and their LT is out for the year.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Sea – Russell Wilson is playing horribly. Expect a few turnovers and a low scoring affair.

Seattle Seahawks vs. KC – Alex Smith and Co. have had difficulties getting untracked and it won’t start here.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Ten – Look for a big bounce back on MNF. Tennesee may be playing without TE Delanie Walker.

Tier 2

Minnesota Vikings vs. Chi – It’s surprising but the Bears offense is a mess now. Cutler will turn the ball over a few times again.

Cleveland Browns vs. Hou – This D is rounding into form. Uncertainty for Houston with Mallett behind center.

Houston Texans vs. Cle – This game figures to be low scoring. Look for Watt to get to Hoyer a few times.

San Francisco 49ers vs. NYG – The Giants get Jennings back at RB so temper expectations here.

Bust

Cincinnati Bengals vs. NO – Injuries have derailed their success. Stay away this week.

Fantasy Sleeper

New Orleans Saints vs. Cin – They’ve put up a string of quality efforts and face a struggling Bengals offense.

Top

1. Dallas Cowboys vs. Was – The Cowboys will roll to an easy win on Monday Night. Typically rivalry games are tricky, but not when the Redskins will be without their top defensive player (Brian Orakpo) and starting 3rd stringer QB Colt McCoy. Look for Dallas to easily cover the point spread and win by double digits.

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2. Cleveland Browns vs. Oak – Last week was embarrassing. The previously winless Jags upset the Browns in their home park. That won’t happen this week. The Raiders are dreadful and will struggle on the road.

3. Miami Dolphins vs. Jax – The Jags lone win will not become a “winning streak” unfortunately. Miami’s D is stout and will stifle the young Jags O. Look for Ryan Tannehill and the offense to put up 27 in the easy win…

Seattle and Detroit

Tier 1

Dallas Cowboys vs. Was – The Boys love seeing Colt McCoy now behind C.

New England Patriots vs. Chi – Chicago is a mess right now.

Denver Broncos vs. SD – Expect the Broncos front to get after Rivers and Co.

Miami Dolphins vs. Jax – This unit will make Bortles struggle tremendously.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Pit – The Colts are a No. 1 D/ST after their recent stretch. Keep playing the hot hand.

Tier 2

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cin – This looks even better if AJ Green is out.

Houston Texans vs. Ten – If Whitehurst plays, they could be a No. 1.

Bust

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Bal – This unit is struggling mightily over the past three games.

Fantasy Sleeper

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Min – A bye week can do a lot of good for a team learning a new D. Facing Teddy Bridgewater helps too.

Must Start

Seahawks, Patriots and Lions

Tier 1

Buffalo Bills vs. Min – Teddy Bridgewater at home? Yes.

Cleveland Browns vs. Jax – The Browns are beat up but they’ll thrive here.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Atl – The Ravens are tough at home and the Falcons OL is in shambles.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Oak – Look for the Cards to force multiple turnovers.

Denver Broncos vs. SF – Denver will attack Kaepernick and create 2-3 turnovers.

Tier 2

Houston Texans vs. Pit – Todd Haley is horrible. Bet against the Steelers while he is calling plays.

Dallas Cowboys vs. NYG – The Giants offense is hurting down Rashad Jennings and Victory Cruz (for the season)

Miami Dolphins vs. Atl – The Fins will put up 8 FFL points.

Bust

San Diego Chargers vs. KC – The Chargers are thin at DL and their lack of pass rush is impacting their pass D.

Fantasy Sleeper

Green Bay Packers vs. Car – This unit is entirely different at home.