WRs who will outperform their ranking in Week 1 ESPN Fantasy Ranking.

John Brown vs. NO (Ranked  30): See above under Carson Palmer. The Saints DBs are hurting and they have no one who can keep up with Brown. The speedy 2nd year player could have a big day with a long TD.

Charles Johnson vs. SF (Ranked 32): No team took as many hits to its defense as the 49ers. Johnson was a bright spot last year and developed a strong rapport with Bridgewater. He’ll be a prime target once again on MNF.

Rueben Randle vs. Dal (Ranked 33): Cruz is iffy and not sure to play. Randle will step in as the #2 WR and will have a lot of opportunities against a suspect Cowboys secondary. This could be a high scoring game which would translate to a strong showing on Randle’s part.

Eddie Royal vs. GB (Ranked 39): Alshon Jeffery is not at full strength and rookie Kevin White may not play this year. Look for Royal to step up early and is a strong flex play in PPR leagues.

Markhus Wheaton vs. NE (Ranked 36): The Pats have a complete revamped secondary and don’t appear particularly impressive defensively on paper. Wheaton will see increased looks with Bell and Martavius Bryant out for the opener.

Allen Robinson vs. Car (Ranked 21): He was Bortles go-to receiver a year ago and possess the best RAC (run after catch) skills. The Panthers D was much softer in ’14 than ’13 and its pass D was exposed plenty.

Nelson Agholor vs. Atl (Ranked 31): Kelly didn’t draft him to sit. Look for the rookie to come out of the gates strong on MNF.

WRs who will underperform their top 10 ranking

Dez Bryant vs. NYG: (Ranked 3): The Giants have issues entering the game but feature one of the better CB duos in the league. Bryant will underperform.

Emmanuel Sanders vs. Bal – (Ranked 10): The 2nd half of last season was a completely different offense in Denver and expectations should be tempered until we see how this year’s will be run. Sanders was a casualty of the run-first offense down the stretch a year ago.

Top Pick

1. Minnesota Vikings (-6) vs. Chi – The turn back to Jay Cutler means nothing. Chicago is in a state of turmoil and can’t wait to get the season over with. Minnesota has grown under 1st year HC Mike Zimmer and will finish out the season with a bang at home. Look for the Vikings to win by 10 and cover the point spread.

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2. Green Bay Packers (-7.5) vs. Det – Some may call last week a trap game for the Lions, but not us. That’s typical Matt Stafford being unable to capitalize on things given to him. The Packers will be ready in a game with a ton of meaning and look for a double digit win.

3. New York Giants (-3) vs. Phi – The Eagles three-game losing streak knocked them out of playoff contention and means this game has little meaning. Well, it has more for the Giants who are playing a number of young players on their three-game winning streak. Look for that to move to four as the Odell Beckham Jr. show continues against a horrendous secondary.

4. Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) vs. Pit – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Carolina Panthers (+4) vs. Atl – This will be close but Cam Newton will be the difference.

San Diego Chargers (+3) vs. KC – Win and they’re in. Look for the Chargers to beat their rival.

Dallas Cowboys (-5.5) vs. Was – Dallas needs to win first and then get a lot of help for a No. 1 or 2 seed. There will not be a letdown here.

Money Line Bet

Cincinnati Bengals (+170) vs. Pit – The Steelers are very talented on offense but erratic. This is a game which could catch them by surprise. The Bengals move to RB Jeremy Hill as the starter has been a boon to the offense and they will continue to ride their young horse Sunday. Everything else feeds off of this. The Bengals D is also much improved since their last contest after getting a few guys back.

Detroit Lions (-8.5) vs. Chi – The complete implosion in Chicago makes this the top pick of the day. QB Jimmy Claussen will start in Jay Cutler’s place and the Lions D will be ALL over him. Detroit will blowout the Bears and easily cover the point spread.

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Carolina Panthers (-3) vs. Cle – Sorry Johnny, it’s a steep learning curve in the NFL. The rookie QB will struggle again mightily against a subpar D.

Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) vs. Was – RGIII is a welcome sight for an Eagles team reeling after two losses. The Eagles will win by double digits.

Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) vs. Dal – See money line bet.

Rounding Things Out

Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) vs. Arz – Bruce Arians can only pull so many rabbits out of his hat. Ryan Lindley vs. a HOT Seattle defense is a scary proposition.

Denver Broncos (-3.5) vs. Cin – The Bengals have been embarrassed in primetime the entire year.

Oakland Raiders (+7) vs. Buf – Crazy things happen in the black hole. Expect the Raiders to play better than many expect.

Money Line Bet

Indianapolis Colts (+164) vs. Dal – The Cowboys are coming home after an emotional win against the Eagles. Home has not been their friend. On top of things, DeMarco Murray now has a broken hand and his ability to play is to be determined. Look for Andrew Luck and Co. to come into Dallas and win a high scoring game. The Cowboys D will have their hands full with the Colts passing game.

Must Start

Calvin Johnson, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Dez Bryant and Demaryius Thomas

Tier 1

Jordy Nelson vs. Buf – The Bills cover than people think.

Odell Beckham vs. Was – The superstar rookie will abuse the Skins secondary.

Alshon Jeffery vs. NO – He instantly becomes a top tier No. 1 with Brandon Marshall out.

TY Hilton vs. Hou – Hilton went over 200 yards in their last game. Look for another solid effort.

AJ Green vs. Cle – Joe Haden usually plays Green tough.

Roddy White vs. Pit – Expect the Falcons to have success in the air.

Emmanuel Sanders vs. SD – The Chargers feature a top 10 pass D but Sanders put up 3 TDs and 100 yards in their 1st outing.

Mike Evans vs. Car – The rookie is still on a tear. That will continue against the Panthers.

Jeremy Maclin vs. Dal – Maclin should own the Cowboys D.

Tier 2

DeAndre Hopkins vs. Ind – Hopkins has a decided advantage when CB Vontae Davis isn’t covering him.

Sammy Watkins vs. GB – The previously stingy Packers pass D looked atrocious Monday Night.

Randall Cobb vs. Buf – He might have more success than Nelson.

Keenan Allen vs. Den – Allen plays well against the Broncos.

Julian Edleman vs. Mia – Solid play in PPR leagues.

Kenny Stills vs. Chi – Stills threw in a stinker in Week 14. Chicago is a much more favorable matchup.

Josh Gordon vs. Cin – Going with Johnny Manziel will impact Gordon’s standing.

Steve Smith vs. Jax – Smith will have a field day against the lowly Jags.

Pierre Garcon vs. NYG – Jackson’s injury improves Garcon’s value.

Bust

Michael Crabtree vs. Sea – Kaepernick is struggling mightily and this is not the defense to get back on track.

Fantasy Sleeper

Martavis Bryant vs. Atl – His deep speed is deadly and the Falcons don’t cover well.

Each week we will give you three options to choose from.

Top Pick

1. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jax – The Eagles have a dream match-up here. The lowly Jags enter the Linc and bring a lot of inexperience with them. The high flying Eagles, led by LeSean McCoy, will run roughshod over this defense. They are our top suicide pool pick this week and look for an easy win.

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2. New York Jets vs. Oak – The Jets have a number of question marks in their secondary, but that is Ok when you face a QB making his first professional start. We expect the Raiders to take steps forward but it won’t happen until midway through the season.

3. Chicago Bears vs. Buf – Buffalo will be a sneaky team this year and pack a lot of firepower offensively, but the Bears do as well and have the decided edge playing at home. Expect Cutler and Co. to put up big numbers through the air.

]]> https://profootball101.com/2014/09/04/2014-nfl-suicide-pool-pick-week-1/feed/ 0 https://profootball101.com/2013/09/04/2013-fantasy-football-dst-rankings-week-1/ https://profootball101.com/2013/09/04/2013-fantasy-football-dst-rankings-week-1/#comments Wed, 04 Sep 2013 16:30:59 +0000 admin https://profootball101.com/?p=10983 Cream of the crop

1. New England Patriots vs. Buf – The Bills will be starting a rookie QB in this one.

2. Seattle Seahawks vs. Car – The Panthers will be improved this year but Week 1 is a tough match-up.

3. San Francisco 49ers vs. GB – The Packers have OL issues which is the one thing you can’t afford to have when facing the 49ers.

4. Houston Texans vs. SD – JJ Watt and Co. will prove too much for these Chargers.

Not far behind

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. NYJ – It’s Geno Smith time, which means it’s a good time to start the Bucs.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Oak – The Raiders will be bad. Very bad.

St. Louis Rams vs. Arz – The Rams are a defense that could take a huge leap this year. Active at each level of the defense will be all over QB Carson Palmer and how beleaguered offensive line.

Rounding out the rest

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Ten – Look for Dick LeBeau to dial up some blitzes that force QB Jake Locker into mistakes.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Chi – This is not the most favorable match-up, but the Bengals will fare well vs. Cutler.

Cleveland Browns vs. Mia – This D/ST is on the upswing and get a favorable match-up week 1.

Chicago Bears vs. Cin –The Bears still have a lot of pieces intact and always play tough at Soldier Field.

New York Jets vs. TB – The Jets D is still pretty good and QB Josh Freeman is good for two turnovers per game.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Den – The Ravens D will be better than a year ago, however, they’re only a mid pack D in this one.

Dallas Cowboys vs. NYG – The Cowboys D is talented and could catch the Giants with an ailing O-Line.

Potential Bust – Beware

Denver Broncos vs. Bal – They’re missing Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil (on Bal) and that’s a lot. CB Champ Bailey might sit this one out too.

1. Chicago Bears (-3.5) vs. Sea – Although the Seahawks have played the Bears tough in Chicago in recent years, that won’t be the case on Sunday. Chicago’s D will prove too much for QB Russell Wilson who has struggled on the road all season.

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2. New England Patriots (-8) vs. Mia – Before the Seahawks game, QB Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins were really struggling. That will start again here.

3. Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) vs. SD – If there’s one thing the Chargers have proven in 2012, it’s that they know how to lose close games. It’ll happen again Sunday against the surging Bengals.

4. St. Louis Rams (+7.5) vs. SF – See money line bet.

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Dallas Cowboys (-10) vs. Phi – Dallas has played horribly in 2012 and still are double digit favorites.  And they’ll cover.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6) vs. Buf – Two games playing with Chad Henne and The Jags nearly beat the Texans and then did beat the Titans.  They could pull a minor upset here but will at least cover the point spread.

New York Giants (-2.5) vs. Was – The Giants have a chance to put some distance between themselves and everyone else in the NFC East. They know how to win these type of games.

Money Line Bet

St. Louis Rams (+280) vs. SF – They should have beaten the 49ers last time in SF.  Now, the 49ers are likely to come out very focused for this one, but, the Rams have been excellent in NFC West games this year and San Francisco has not put together three consecutive strong performances yet in 2012.

Top Pick

1. Chicago Bears vs. Sea – The Seahawks are a poor road team and QB Russell Wilson will be exposed on Sunday against this defense. The Bears offense will do enough to put this one out of reach, while the Bears D will do what it does best: create turnovers and force the Seahawks into mistakes.

Look for an easy win as you advance in your suicide pool.

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2. Carolina Panthers vs. KC – The Chiefs are 1-10 for a reason. The Panthers, while only 3-8, have been playing better ball lately and will come away with a W this week.

3. Dallas Cowboys vs. Phi – If Dallas is still available to you, plug them in here. The Eagles have thrown the towel in on the season and Andy Reid‘s fate will be officially sealed in another month. The Cowboys, who have been very ordinary at home in 2012, will roll here.

Top Pick

1. Houston Texans vs. Buf -Both teams are coming off a bye week, but only one team will roll: the Texans. Look for a dominant effort on both sides of the ball and a double digit win on Sunday.

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2. Seattle Seahawks vs. Min - The Seahawks are on a two game losing streak but will find their winning ways when they face the Vikings at home. It’s one of the toughest places to play which the Vikings will find out in Week 9.

3. San Diego Chargers vs. KC – This would be a risky suicide pool pick, but the Chiefs are a horrible team right now. Regardless of how bad it’s gotten in San Diego the past few weeks, this is a game they will win. If they don’t, it could be a tailspin the rest of the season. Only use them if you have already used the big favorites.

1. San Francisco 49ers vs. Arz – The Cards can’t pass block and don’t run the ball well. The 49ers may shut them out and force 2-3 turnovers in the process while sacking QB John Skelton five times.

2. Chicago Bears vs. Car – The Panthers O is abysmal and the Bears D has been stout.

3. Seattle Seahawks vs. Det – The one dimensional Lions are a turnover waiting to happen and Seattle is coming off 10 days rest.

4. New York Giants vs. Dal -The Giants will be at full health for this one and harass Tony Romo all day.

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Atlanta Falcons vs. Phi – Michael Vick is good for at least two turnovers and a few sacks.

Green Bay Packers vs. Jax – The Packers are banged up but this is a great match-up. Chad Henne is in for a long day.

Minnesota Vikings vs. TB – The surprising Vikings will attack  Josh Freeman with their front four. Expect Tampa’s point total to be kept under 17 and for Minnesota to force multiple turnovers.

The Rest

Oakland Raiders vs. KC – The Raiders are a solid fantasy sleeper vs. the Brady Quinn led Chiefs.

San Diego Chargers vs. Cle – Look for San Diego to bounce back defensively vs. the Browns.

Detroit Lions vs. Sea – The Lions D played better on Monday Night and will have a chance to force a few turnovers here. They’re a low level fantasy defense this week.

Denver Broncos vs. NO – Expect the Broncos to attack Brees and force a few turnovers in the thin air on Sunday Night.

New England Patriots vs. Stl – The Patriots D is soft but at least it forces a few turnovers each week.

Cleveland Browns vs. SD  -  QB Philip Rivers has become a turnover machines.

Washington Redskins vs. Pit – The Skins are a decent start if your normal No.1 is out. They’ll force one – maybe two – turnovers.