Miami Dolphins (-3.5) vs. Was – The RGIII fiasco seems to have settled slightly for the time being. The Dolphins are a much better football team than the Skins and look for Tannehill and Co. to come out of the gates fast this year. They’ll win by a TD and cover the point spread.

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Arizona Cardinals (-2) vs. NO – A lot of question marks surround this Saints team. They’re running a new offense and have some key defensive players out right now. Arizona is a tough place to play and we expect the Cardinals to pull out the W.

NY Giants (+6) vs. Dal – The home team is likely to win but these games are always high scoring and close.

Jacksonville (+3) vs. Car – Gut says go with Carolina who is the better team. But a lot of question marks surround this offense once again (loss of stud WR Benjamin) and Jacksonville has young playmakers and a defense better than most realize. They’re a good money line bet too (+145)

Rounding Things Out

Green Bay Packers (-6) vs. Chi – John Fox will do a lot of good in Chicago. It just won’t happen right away. The Bears offense is ailing and its D has uncertainty all over. Green Bay will win going away.

Kansas City Chiefs (+1) vs. Hou – This is really a toss up, but we’ll go with the better all around team. Houston is breaking in a new QB, Arian Foster is sidelined and WR Andre Johnson is no longer there.

Buffalo Bills (+2.5) vs. Ind – They’re going to be fired up for Rex Ryan’s first game. The Bills D is stout and on offense the only question mark is a QB. Sure, that’s a big question mark, but the Bills might just out muscle Indy in its own park on Sunday.

Top Pick

1. New England Patriots (-6.5) vs. Ind – I get it, Andrew Luck is a beast, the Colts are starting to figure things out and are coming off a great road win in Denver. It still won’t matter. New England should win this by double digits. The Colts don’t stop the run very well so you can expect a heavy dosage of RB LeGarrette Blount and even Jonas Gray, who ran for 199 and 4 TDs against Indy the last time they played.

Defensively, New England doesn’t have to worry about a running game so you can expect a scheme heavily intent on defensing the pass. The Colts continue to take steps to reach the top of the mountain but will fall short once again.

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2. Green Bay Packers (+7) vs. Sea – The Seahawks are a good bet to win. But not by a TD. Green Bay will be the most complete team they’ve faced on their winning streak and the 1st legit QB outside of Cam Newton, who is not near Rodgers’ class. Russell Wilson’s offense struggled down the stretch (minus the Cards game) and the Packers bring in a pretty good D.

Expect the Packers to keep the Seahawks under 21. On the other side of the ball the Packers will have some success and hit on a big play here and there. We think the Packers could pull off the upset (money line bet is +225) but will certainly cover the point spread.

Top pick

1. Denver Broncos (-7) vs. Ind – The Colts are playing on house money in the 2nd round. They can’t run the ball nor defense the run very well, and beat an undermanned Bengals team to get here. Their season will end this weekend. Denver is well rested, gets some key members back on D (LB Brandon Marshall), and will destroy Indy’s defense with its run / pass attack. Look for the Broncos to easily cover the point spread.

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2. Seattle Seahawks (-10.5) vs. Car – These teams have met each of the last two seasons and each contest has been close. Each contest has also been in Carolina. This one moves to Seattle. Look for the Seahawks D to bear down on Newton all evening and force mistakes while limiting points. Seattle will win by more than two TDs.

3. Baltimore Ravens (+7) vs. NE – The Patriots will win this game. The success Baltimore had against New England in the playoffs came before the Patriots went out and got a legit D. They have one now and CB Revis lets Belichick do a lot of things. But Baltimore matches up well against the Patriots strengths and this should come down to the wire again.

4. Green Bay Packers (-5.5) vs. Dal – The only way this should remain close is if Aaron Rodgers injury is worse than the team is letting on. Otherwise, this is a mismatch. The Packers offense will dominate the Cowboys D and control the clock. On the other side of the ball while the Cowboys will have success on the ground, Green Bay’s D is opportunistic – especially at home, and will force one or two key turnovers.

Top pick

1. Arizona Cardinals (+6.5) vs. Car – The Panthers should win and enter the game in pretty good shape health-wise. The Cardinals are forced to play QB Ryan Lindley which is a depressing thought. However, Arizona’s D will be ready to play and will force Cam Newton into mistakes. Expect a close game which Arizona may pull out in the end. Either way, Carolina won’t be covering the point spread.

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2. Detroit Lions (+7) vs. Dal – The Cowboys come in strong, finishing 8-0 on the road. They haven’t fared as well at home. The Lions D will challenge Romo and this running game all afternoon. Matt Stafford is good for a few mistakes but this will be close throughout and could go either way. If Stafford shows some maturity then the Lions may steal one on the road.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) vs. Bal – The loss of RB Le’veon Bell is big, but Pittsburgh still has enough firepower to beat the Ravens at home. Baltimore does not enter this game playing their best ball and will go out in round 1.

4. Indianapolis Colts (-3) vs. Cin – The Bengals will likely be without WR AJ Green who has a concussion. That is a huge loss. They’ll pound the rock with RB Jeremy Hill but will face another aggressive defensive plan like they faced earlier when shutout 27-0 to the Colts. Expect QB Andrew Luck and Co. to get the job done again.

Must Start

Seattle, Detroit and St. Louis

Tier 1

New England Patriots vs. Mia – This D is playing at a very high level.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oak – The Raiders lost 52-0 last time they played on the road.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Stl – It’s still Shaun Hill starting. Expect a few turnovers.

New York Giants vs. Was – With the Giants moving to young players they’re making plays. Facing lesser competition doesn’t hurt too.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jax – Nothing makes Ravens owners happier than seeing Jacksonville on their roster Week 15.

Tier 2

Cleveland Browns vs. Cin – They dominated Dalton and Co. last time.

Denver Broncos vs. SD – The Chargers are struggling and will turn the ball over a few times.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dal – Expect multiple turnovers.

Bust

San Francisco 49ers vs. Sea – Expect the 49ers offense to put its D in tough situations and for Seattle to put up 30.

Fantasy Sleeper

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cle – Marvin Lewis will have a defense to stop Manziel.

Must Start

Seattle, San Francisco, Indianapolis and Miami

Tier 1

Detroit Lions vs. Chi – Look for double digit turnovers from the Lions on Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. TB – This unit is getting healthy.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cle – Expect the Bills to force Hoyer into multiple turnvoers.

Baltimore Ravens vs. SD – The Ravens are very tough at home this late in the season.

St. Louis Rams vs. Oak – The Rams D is hot and will continue their play against the Raiders.

Tier 2

Houston Texans vs. Ten – Expect 7-10 FFL points against the Titans.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Was – The QB situation is a mess in Washington.

Bust

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Den – it’s best to avoid this unit in Week 13

Fantasy Sleeper

New York Giants vs. Jax – Only because it’s the Jaguars.

Must Start

Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas and Rob Gronkowski

Tier 1

Delanie Walker vs. Hou – Walker put up 5 catches for 155 yards vs the Eagles. Look for another big effort.

Travis Kelce vs. Den – The Broncos have been torched by opposing TEs.

Jason Witten vs. Phi – Philadelphia’s aggressive D will have Romo targeting Witten much of the day.

Coby Fleener vs. Was – Still a No. 1 while Allen’s status is uncertain.

Greg Olsen vs Min – Newton is relying on him more and more with the OL issues.

Tier 2

Larry Donnell vs. Jax – Expect 3-4 catches with a return to the end zone.

Martellus Bennett vs. Det – The Lions D will prove a challenge but Bennett is a goal line TD candidate.

Mercedes Lewis vs. NYG – NYG can’t cover TEs over the middle.

Bust

Vernon Davis vs. Sea – Question whether he is even trying.

Fantasy Sleeper

Timothy Wright vs. GB – Look for Brady to make use of his 2nd TE against GB. The Packers will have trouble containing New England’s D.

Seattle and Detroit

Tier 1

Dallas Cowboys vs. Was – The Boys love seeing Colt McCoy now behind C.

New England Patriots vs. Chi – Chicago is a mess right now.

Denver Broncos vs. SD – Expect the Broncos front to get after Rivers and Co.

Miami Dolphins vs. Jax – This unit will make Bortles struggle tremendously.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Pit – The Colts are a No. 1 D/ST after their recent stretch. Keep playing the hot hand.

Tier 2

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cin – This looks even better if AJ Green is out.

Houston Texans vs. Ten – If Whitehurst plays, they could be a No. 1.

Bust

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Bal – This unit is struggling mightily over the past three games.

Fantasy Sleeper

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Min – A bye week can do a lot of good for a team learning a new D. Facing Teddy Bridgewater helps too.

1. Denver Broncos (-7) vs. SF – The 49ers will be down LB Patrick Willis which takes out all but one element (Ahmad Brooks) of their Pro Bowl Linebacking Corps. San Francisco will keep this competitive but won’t have enough firepower to keep it close late. Look for Peyton Manning and Co. to cover the point spread and win by at least 10.

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2. Baltimore Ravens (-7) vs. Atl – Baltimore is coming off a big romp in Tampa and will continue that trend against the NFC South at home. Atlanta’s diminished OL impacts everything they do on offense, and they’re going to struggle in Baltimore.

3. Miami Dolphins (+3) vs. Chi – See money line bet.

4. Detroit Lions (-2.5) vs. NO – The Lions will likely be without Megatron but they’ll have enough juice on offense to get the job done. Their D is playing tremendously and whereas in year’s past the Saints would have posed a significant threat, something is missing this year.

Rounding Things Out

Kansas City Chiefs (+4) vs. SD – San Diego’s defense has been hit by injuries and is being felt in the pass rush. The Chiefs are getting healthier and may steal a game on the road.

Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) vs. Oak – The Raiders are improving but still not enough to beat the Cards. The game will be close throughout, however.

New York Giants (+7) vs. Dal – New York is determined to show that last week’s flop was a fluke and Dallas could have a letdown after their impressive win in Seattle.

Money Line Bet

Miami Dolphins (+155) vs. Chi – Both teams are very up and down this year. While the Fins blew a very winnable game last week against the Packers, they are ascending as a whole. Expect a close game which the Dolphins pull out late.

Must Start

Seahawks, Patriots and Lions

Tier 1

Buffalo Bills vs. Min – Teddy Bridgewater at home? Yes.

Cleveland Browns vs. Jax – The Browns are beat up but they’ll thrive here.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Atl – The Ravens are tough at home and the Falcons OL is in shambles.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Oak – Look for the Cards to force multiple turnovers.

Denver Broncos vs. SF – Denver will attack Kaepernick and create 2-3 turnovers.

Tier 2

Houston Texans vs. Pit – Todd Haley is horrible. Bet against the Steelers while he is calling plays.

Dallas Cowboys vs. NYG – The Giants offense is hurting down Rashad Jennings and Victory Cruz (for the season)

Miami Dolphins vs. Atl – The Fins will put up 8 FFL points.

Bust

San Diego Chargers vs. KC – The Chargers are thin at DL and their lack of pass rush is impacting their pass D.

Fantasy Sleeper

Green Bay Packers vs. Car – This unit is entirely different at home.